Basketball · Brazil FPB · 07/08, 00:30
Prediction: Sao Jose vs Paulistano
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.3Total
Sao Jose80.5
Paulistano77.7
1X2
Sao Jose
Paulistano
Recent form · 10 last
Sao Jose
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Paulistano
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sao Jose
2–4
Paulistano
(6 last)
- Sao Jose88-81Paulistano
- Paulistano80-71Sao Jose
- Sao Jose74-64Paulistano
- Paulistano93-78Sao Jose
- Sao Jose62-75Paulistano
- Paulistano89-69Sao Jose
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sao Jose 1492 · Paulistano 1477
| Sao Jose | Paulistano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.3 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.3Sao Jose 80.5 · Paulistano 77.7
Match keys
- H2H favours Paulistano: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sao Jose | Paulistano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.9 / 80.3 | 80.1 / 80.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.2 / 79.4 | 76 / 82.2 |
| Est. result | 81 | 78 |
Est. total158.3
Line O/U154.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Jose 2–0–4 Paulistano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 Brazil NBB | Sao Jose | 88-81 | Paulistano |
| 04/11/25 Brazil NBB | Paulistano | 80-71 | Sao Jose |
| 24/08/25 Brazil FPB | Sao Jose | 74-64 | Paulistano |
| 13/02/25 Brazil NBB | Paulistano | 93-78 | Sao Jose |
| 08/11/24 Brazil NBB | Sao Jose | 62-75 | Paulistano |
| 02/08/24 Brazil Paulista 1 Div. | Paulistano | 89-69 | Sao Jose |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sao Jose | Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Mogi das Cruzes | 70-81 L | 70-84 L |
| Pinheiros | 76-75 W | 74-84 L |
| Pato Basquete | 81-72 W | 92-71 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sao Jose (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Jose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
70-81 | L |
| 25/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
75-79 | L |
| 23/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
70-75 | L |
| 18/04 | Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB |
88-97 | L |
| 16/04 | Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB |
68-65 | W |
| 11/04 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
76-75 | W |
| 08/04 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
78-90 | L |
| 02/04 | Franca Brazil NBB |
91-93 | L |
| 23/03 | Rio Claro Brazil NBB |
82-76 | W |
| 18/03 | Pato Basquete Brazil NBB |
81-72 | W |
Paulistano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
74-84 | L |
| 08/05 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
68-76 | L |
| 05/05 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
92-101 | L |
| 30/04 | Bauru Brazil NBB |
71-62 | W |
| 26/04 | Bauru Brazil NBB |
75-88 | L |
| 25/04 | Bauru Brazil NBB |
95-80 | W |
| 22/04 | Bauru Brazil NBB |
80-77 | W |
| 18/04 | Pato Basquete Brazil NBB |
92-71 | W |
| 16/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
70-84 | L |
| 10/04 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
84-80 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Jose vs Paulistano?
Our model gives 58% to Sao Jose.
How many points are expected in Sao Jose vs Paulistano?
The model estimates 158.3 total points (Sao Jose 80.5 · Paulistano 77.7).