Basketball · Brazil FPB · 08/08, 20:00
Prediction: Corinthians vs Sao Jose
Team pages: Corinthians · Sao Jose
Prediction summary
Estimated points
155.6Total
Corinthians83.7
Sao Jose71.9
1X2
Corinthians
Sao Jose
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Sao Jose
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Corinthians
4–2
Sao Jose
(6 last)
- Sao Jose95-103Corinthians
- Corinthians78-64Sao Jose
- Corinthians72-71Sao Jose
- Sao Jose76-85Corinthians
- Corinthians72-77Sao Jose
- Sao Jose83-78Corinthians
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Corinthians 1582 · Sao Jose 1426
| Corinthians | Sao Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 80% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
155.6 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · -0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points155.6Corinthians 83.7 · Sao Jose 71.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corinthians (rating 1582 vs 1426).
- Corinthians is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Corinthians: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Corinthians | Sao Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.1 / 74.3 | 77.7 / 81.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.8 / 73.6 | 76.4 / 83.2 |
| Est. result | 84 | 72 |
Est. total155.6
Line O/U156.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians 4–0–2 Sao Jose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Brazil NBB | Sao Jose | 95-103 | Corinthians |
| 12/11/25 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 78-64 | Sao Jose |
| 10/09/25 Brazil FPB | Corinthians | 72-71 | Sao Jose |
| 31/08/25 Brazil FPB | Sao Jose | 76-85 | Corinthians |
| 08/03/25 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 72-77 | Sao Jose |
| 02/12/24 Brazil NBB | Sao Jose | 83-78 | Corinthians |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
99-67 | W |
| 11/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
68-61 | W |
| 07/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-73 | W |
| 05/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
81-69 | W |
| 02/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
61-98 | L |
| 17/06 | Sorocaba Basquete Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 17/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 16/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
87-89 | L |
| 13/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
85-84 | W |
| 13/06 | Sorocaba Basquete Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
85-84 | W |
Sao Jose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
79-84 | L |
| 28/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
70-81 | L |
| 25/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
75-79 | L |
| 23/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
70-75 | L |
| 18/04 | Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB |
88-97 | L |
| 16/04 | Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB |
68-65 | W |
| 11/04 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
76-75 | W |
| 08/04 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
78-90 | L |
| 02/04 | Franca Brazil NBB |
91-93 | L |
| 23/03 | Rio Claro Brazil NBB |
82-76 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corinthians vs Sao Jose?
Our model gives 80% to Corinthians.
How many points are expected in Corinthians vs Sao Jose?
The model estimates 155.6 total points (Corinthians 83.7 · Sao Jose 71.9).