Basketball · Brazil FPB · 09/08, 23:00
Prediction: Franca vs Osasco
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156Total
Franca87.9
Osasco68.2
1X2
Franca
Osasco
Recent form · 10 last
Franca
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Osasco
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Franca
5–1
Osasco
(6 last)
- Franca104-74Osasco
- Osasco60-105Franca
- Osasco77-66Franca
- Franca107-71Osasco
- Franca74-47Osasco
- Osasco80-88Franca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franca 1593 · Osasco 1431
| Franca | Osasco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 19% |
| Market | 95% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
156 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · -1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156Franca 87.9 · Osasco 68.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franca (rating 1593 vs 1431).
- Franca is a clear favourite (92% market).
- H2H favours Franca: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Franca | Osasco | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.2 / 71.4 | 77.3 / 89.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.6 / 73.8 | 76.2 / 90.4 |
| Est. result | 88 | 68 |
Est. total156
Line O/U157.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Franca 5–0–1 Osasco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/26 Brazil NBB | Franca | 104-74 | Osasco |
| 19/10/25 Brazil NBB | Osasco | 60-105 | Franca |
| 16/08/25 Brazil FPB | Osasco | 77-66 | Franca |
| 26/09/24 Brazil FPB | Franca | 107-71 | Osasco |
| 10/08/24 Brazil FPB | Franca | 74-47 | Osasco |
| 06/08/23 Brazil FPB | Osasco | 80-88 | Franca |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
61-51 | W |
| 07/06 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
85-76 | W |
| 04/06 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
92-94 | L |
| 03/06 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
78-75 | W |
| 31/05 | Pinheiros Brazil NBB |
82-73 | W |
| 29/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
68-66 | W |
| 27/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
69-71 | L |
| 24/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
91-74 | W |
| 22/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
50-67 | L |
| 19/05 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
76-67 | W |
Osasco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
67-99 | L |
| 18/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
76-73 | W |
| 11/04 | Pato Basquete Brazil NBB |
77-68 | W |
| 08/04 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
96-111 | L |
| 04/04 | Unifacisa Brazil NBB |
65-101 | L |
| 22/03 | Minas Brazil NBB |
66-78 | L |
| 21/03 | Flamengo Brazil NBB |
71-101 | L |
| 17/03 | Fortaleza BC Brazil NBB |
90-89 | W |
| 14/03 | CR Vasco Da Gama Brazil NBB |
86-88 | L |
| 13/03 | Botafogo Brazil NBB |
79-85 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franca vs Osasco?
Our model gives 92% to Franca.
How many points are expected in Franca vs Osasco?
The model estimates 156 total points (Franca 87.9 · Osasco 68.2).