Basketball · Brazil FPB · 27/08, 01:00
Prediction: Paulistano vs Osasco
Team pages: Paulistano · Osasco
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.6Total
Paulistano87.7
Osasco74.9
1X2
Paulistano
Osasco
Recent form · 10 last
Paulistano
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Osasco
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Paulistano
6–0
Osasco
(6 last)
- Paulistano86-73Osasco
- Osasco81-94Paulistano
- Paulistano96-92Osasco
- Osasco72-76Paulistano
- Osasco61-74Paulistano
- Paulistano76-55Osasco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paulistano 1489 · Osasco 1367
| Paulistano | Osasco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 23% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.6 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +8.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.6Paulistano 87.7 · Osasco 74.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulistano (rating 1489 vs 1367).
- Paulistano is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours Paulistano: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Paulistano | Osasco | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.3 / 80 | 72.4 / 95.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.2 / 79.6 | 62.4 / 97.6 |
| Est. result | 88 | 75 |
Est. total162.6
Line O/U154.5
Diff.8.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulistano 6–0–0 Osasco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Brazil NBB | Paulistano | 86-73 | Osasco |
| 09/11/25 Brazil NBB | Osasco | 81-94 | Paulistano |
| 12/09/25 Brazil FPB | Paulistano | 96-92 | Osasco |
| 29/08/25 Brazil FPB | Osasco | 72-76 | Paulistano |
| 14/08/24 Brazil FPB | Osasco | 61-74 | Paulistano |
| 12/08/23 Brazil FPB | Paulistano | 76-55 | Osasco |
Standings · Brazil FPB
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mogi das Cruzes | 6 | 6 | 0 | 544 | 417 | 0 |
| 2 | Franca | 6 | 5 | 1 | 458 | 390 | 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 6 | 4 | 2 | 493 | 451 | 0 |
| 4 | Bauru | 6 | 4 | 2 | 464 | 445 | 0 |
| 5 | Sao Jose | 6 | 2 | 4 | 484 | 466 | 0 |
| 6 | Paulistano | 6 | 2 | 4 | 475 | 477 | 0 |
| 7 | Pinheiros | 6 | 1 | 5 | 414 | 478 | 0 |
| 8 | Osasco | 6 | 0 | 6 | 379 | 587 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paulistano | Osasco |
|---|---|---|
| Bauru | 88-92 L | 64-91 L |
| Corinthians | 80-83 L | 67-99 L |
| Pinheiros | 67-59 W | 77-93 L |
| Franca | 74-78 L | 52-101 L |
| Mogi das Cruzes | 82-86 L | 74-89 L |
| Sao Jose | 84-79 W | 45-114 L |
| Rio Claro | 96-109 L | 82-95 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Paulistano (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulistano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
88-92 | L |
| 20/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
80-83 | L |
| 16/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
67-59 | W |
| 14/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
74-78 | L |
| 09/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
82-86 | L |
| 07/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
84-79 | W |
| 25/09 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
67-86 | L |
| 24/09 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
61-65 | L |
| 21/09 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
74-63 | W |
| 19/09 | Rio Claro Brazil FPB |
96-109 | L |
Osasco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
77-93 | L |
| 21/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
74-89 | L |
| 16/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
45-114 | L |
| 14/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
64-91 | L |
| 09/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
52-101 | L |
| 07/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
67-99 | L |
| 18/09 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil FPB |
82-77 | W |
| 16/09 | SL Mandic Basquete Brazil FPB |
89-96 | L |
| 12/09 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
92-96 | L |
| 10/09 | Rio Claro Brazil FPB |
82-95 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulistano vs Osasco?
Our model gives 82% to Paulistano.
How many points are expected in Paulistano vs Osasco?
The model estimates 162.6 total points (Paulistano 87.7 · Osasco 74.9).