Prediction: Paulistano vs Bauru
Team pages: Paulistano · Bauru
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Bauru92-88Paulistano
- Paulistano71-62Bauru
- Bauru88-75Paulistano
- Bauru80-95Paulistano
- Paulistano80-77Bauru
- Bauru87-89Paulistano
| Paulistano | Bauru | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Paulistano: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Paulistano | Bauru | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.7 / 76.9 | 75.6 / 77.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.8 / 78 | 85 / 83 |
| Est. result | 77 | 75 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulistano 4–0–2 Bauru
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Brazil FPB | Bauru | 92-88 | Paulistano |
| 30/04/26 Brazil NBB | Paulistano | 71-62 | Bauru |
| 26/04/26 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 88-75 | Paulistano |
| 25/04/26 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 80-95 | Paulistano |
| 22/04/26 Brazil NBB | Paulistano | 80-77 | Bauru |
| 16/01/26 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 87-89 | Paulistano |
Standings · Brazil FPB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franca | 7 | 6 | 1 | 544 | 468 | 0 |
| 2 | Mogi das Cruzes | 7 | 6 | 1 | 622 | 503 | 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 7 | 5 | 2 | 587 | 537 | 0 |
| 4 | Bauru | 7 | 4 | 3 | 550 | 539 | 0 |
| 5 | Pinheiros | 7 | 2 | 5 | 501 | 563 | 0 |
| 6 | Sao Jose | 7 | 2 | 5 | 569 | 553 | 0 |
| 7 | Osasco | 7 | 1 | 6 | 457 | 657 | 0 |
| 8 | Paulistano | 7 | 2 | 5 | 545 | 555 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paulistano | Bauru |
|---|---|---|
| Osasco | 70-78 L | 91-64 W |
| Corinthians | 80-83 L | 86-94 L |
| Pinheiros | 67-59 W | 74-63 W |
| Franca | 74-78 L | 51-61 L |
| Mogi das Cruzes | 82-86 L | 71-88 L |
| Sao Jose | 84-79 W | 85-81 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Paulistano (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulistano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
70-78 | L |
| 22/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
88-92 | L |
| 20/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
80-83 | L |
| 16/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
67-59 | W |
| 14/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
74-78 | L |
| 09/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
82-86 | L |
| 07/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
84-79 | W |
| 25/09 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
67-86 | L |
| 24/09 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
61-65 | L |
| 21/09 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
74-63 | W |
Bauru
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
86-94 | L |
| 22/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
92-88 | W |
| 20/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
85-81 | W |
| 15/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
71-88 | L |
| 14/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
91-64 | W |
| 08/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
74-63 | W |
| 06/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
51-61 | L |
| 26/09 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
57-68 | L |
| 25/09 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
65-88 | L |
| 21/09 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
84-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulistano vs Bauru?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Paulistano 54% · Bauru 46%).
How many points are expected in Paulistano vs Bauru?
The model estimates 152 total points (Paulistano 76.7 · Bauru 75.3).