Basketball · Brazil FPB · 04/09, 00:30
Prediction: Pinheiros vs Corinthians
Team pages: Pinheiros · Corinthians
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162Total
Pinheiros77.5
Corinthians84.5
1X2
Pinheiros
Corinthians
Recent form · 10 last
Pinheiros
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Corinthians
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pinheiros
3–3
Corinthians
(6 last)
- Pinheiros70-88Corinthians
- Pinheiros88-76Corinthians
- Corinthians81-82Pinheiros
- Corinthians98-84Pinheiros
- Pinheiros95-65Corinthians
- Corinthians74-69Pinheiros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pinheiros 1484 · Corinthians 1544
| Pinheiros | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
162 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +5.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162Pinheiros 77.5 · Corinthians 84.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corinthians (rating 1484 vs 1544).
- Corinthians is a clear favourite (69% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pinheiros | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73.1 / 81.9 | 85.4 / 79.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74 / 79.2 | 79.4 / 80.4 |
| Est. result | 78 | 85 |
Est. total162
Line O/U156.5
Diff.5.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pinheiros 3–0–3 Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 Brazil FPB | Pinheiros | 70-88 | Corinthians |
| 27/05/26 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 88-76 | Corinthians |
| 23/05/26 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 81-82 | Pinheiros |
| 21/05/26 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 98-84 | Pinheiros |
| 19/05/26 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 95-65 | Corinthians |
| 04/04/26 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 74-69 | Pinheiros |
Standings · Brazil FPB
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franca | 7 | 6 | 1 | 544 | 468 | 0 |
| 2 | Mogi das Cruzes | 7 | 6 | 1 | 622 | 503 | 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 7 | 5 | 2 | 587 | 537 | 0 |
| 4 | Bauru | 7 | 4 | 3 | 550 | 539 | 0 |
| 5 | Pinheiros | 7 | 2 | 5 | 501 | 563 | 0 |
| 6 | Sao Jose | 7 | 2 | 5 | 569 | 553 | 0 |
| 7 | Osasco | 7 | 1 | 6 | 457 | 657 | 0 |
| 8 | Paulistano | 7 | 2 | 5 | 545 | 555 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pinheiros | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Jose | 87-85 W | 91-68 W |
| Osasco | 93-77 W | 99-67 W |
| Franca | 61-79 L | 77-79 L |
| Paulistano | 59-67 L | 83-80 W |
| Bauru | 63-74 L | 94-86 W |
| Mogi das Cruzes | 68-93 L | 55-87 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Corinthians (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pinheiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
87-85 | W |
| 23/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
93-77 | W |
| 21/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
61-79 | L |
| 16/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
59-67 | L |
| 13/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
70-88 | L |
| 08/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
63-74 | L |
| 06/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
68-93 | L |
| 03/10 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
87-98 | L |
| 30/09 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
57-75 | L |
| 26/09 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
86-83 | W |
Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
94-86 | W |
| 22/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
55-87 | L |
| 20/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
83-80 | W |
| 15/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
77-79 | L |
| 13/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
88-70 | W |
| 08/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
91-68 | W |
| 07/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
99-67 | W |
| 26/09 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
83-86 | L |
| 25/09 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
91-74 | W |
| 21/09 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
93-96 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pinheiros vs Corinthians?
Our model gives 69% to Corinthians.
How many points are expected in Pinheiros vs Corinthians?
The model estimates 162 total points (Pinheiros 77.5 · Corinthians 84.5).