Prediction: Sao Jose vs Mogi das Cruzes
Team pages: Sao Jose · Mogi das Cruzes
- Mogi das Cruzes101-67Sao Jose
- Mogi das Cruzes81-70Sao Jose
- Mogi das Cruzes79-75Sao Jose
- Sao Jose70-75Mogi das Cruzes
- Mogi das Cruzes78-68Sao Jose
- Sao Jose79-61Mogi das Cruzes
| Sao Jose | Mogi das Cruzes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mogi das Cruzes (rating 1435 vs 1590).
- Mogi das Cruzes is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Mogi das Cruzes: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sao Jose | Mogi das Cruzes | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.7 / 78.5 | 83.1 / 75.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.4 / 75.6 | 88.6 / 70.6 |
| Est. result | 74 | 81 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Jose 1–0–5 Mogi das Cruzes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 Brazil FPB | Mogi das Cruzes | 101-67 | Sao Jose |
| 28/04/26 Brazil NBB | Mogi das Cruzes | 81-70 | Sao Jose |
| 25/04/26 Brazil NBB | Mogi das Cruzes | 79-75 | Sao Jose |
| 23/04/26 Brazil NBB | Sao Jose | 70-75 | Mogi das Cruzes |
| 22/02/26 Brazil NBB | Mogi das Cruzes | 78-68 | Sao Jose |
| 19/12/25 Brazil NBB | Sao Jose | 79-61 | Mogi das Cruzes |
Standings · Brazil FPB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franca | 7 | 6 | 1 | 544 | 468 | 0 |
| 2 | Mogi das Cruzes | 7 | 6 | 1 | 622 | 503 | 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 7 | 5 | 2 | 587 | 537 | 0 |
| 4 | Bauru | 7 | 4 | 3 | 550 | 539 | 0 |
| 5 | Pinheiros | 7 | 2 | 5 | 501 | 563 | 0 |
| 6 | Sao Jose | 7 | 2 | 5 | 569 | 553 | 0 |
| 7 | Osasco | 7 | 1 | 6 | 457 | 657 | 0 |
| 8 | Paulistano | 7 | 2 | 5 | 545 | 555 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sao Jose | Mogi das Cruzes |
|---|---|---|
| Pinheiros | 85-87 L | 93-68 W |
| Franca | 75-60 W | 78-86 L |
| Bauru | 81-85 L | 88-71 W |
| Osasco | 114-45 W | 89-74 W |
| Corinthians | 68-91 L | 87-55 W |
| Paulistano | 79-84 L | 86-82 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mogi das Cruzes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Jose
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
85-87 | L |
| 23/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
75-60 | W |
| 20/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
81-85 | L |
| 16/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
114-45 | W |
| 13/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
67-101 | L |
| 08/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
68-91 | L |
| 07/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
79-84 | L |
| 02/10 | Franca Brazil FPB |
54-91 | L |
| 28/09 | Franca Brazil FPB |
76-84 | L |
| 26/09 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
68-57 | W |
Mogi das Cruzes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
78-86 | L |
| 22/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
87-55 | W |
| 21/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
89-74 | W |
| 15/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
88-71 | W |
| 13/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
101-67 | W |
| 09/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
86-82 | W |
| 06/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
93-68 | W |
| 11/10 | Franca Brazil FPB |
68-97 | L |
| 10/10 | Franca Brazil FPB |
60-72 | L |
| 07/10 | Franca Brazil FPB |
81-82 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Jose vs Mogi das Cruzes?
Our model gives 69% to Mogi das Cruzes.
How many points are expected in Sao Jose vs Mogi das Cruzes?
The model estimates 154.4 total points (Sao Jose 73.7 · Mogi das Cruzes 80.7).