Basketball · Brazil FPB · 08/08, 23:00
Prediction: Bauru vs Pinheiros
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.3Total
Bauru82.9
Pinheiros74.4
1X2
Bauru
Pinheiros
Recent form · 10 last
Bauru
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Pinheiros
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bauru
5–1
Pinheiros
(6 last)
- Bauru101-94Pinheiros
- Pinheiros83-60Bauru
- Bauru90-67Pinheiros
- Bauru84-81Pinheiros
- Pinheiros80-87Bauru
- Pinheiros87-90Bauru
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bauru 1447 · Pinheiros 1512
| Bauru | Pinheiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.3 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.3Bauru 82.9 · Pinheiros 74.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pinheiros (rating 1447 vs 1512).
- Bauru is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Bauru: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bauru | Pinheiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.6 / 81.9 | 81.9 / 82.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.6 / 76.4 | 77.2 / 86 |
| Est. result | 83 | 74 |
Est. total157.3
Line O/U154.5
Diff.2.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bauru 5–0–1 Pinheiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/26 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 101-94 | Pinheiros |
| 24/10/25 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 83-60 | Bauru |
| 14/08/25 Brazil FPB | Bauru | 90-67 | Pinheiros |
| 05/03/25 Brazil NBB | Bauru | 84-81 | Pinheiros |
| 15/11/24 Brazil NBB | Pinheiros | 80-87 | Bauru |
| 24/08/24 Brazil FPB | Pinheiros | 87-90 | Bauru |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bauru | Pinheiros |
|---|---|---|
| Franca | 51-61 L | 76-85 L |
| Paulistano | 62-71 L | 84-74 W |
| Mogi das Cruzes | 79-87 L | 68-93 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pinheiros (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bauru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
51-61 | L |
| 30/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
62-71 | L |
| 26/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
88-75 | W |
| 25/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
80-95 | L |
| 22/04 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
77-80 | L |
| 18/04 | Brasilia Brazil NBB |
65-94 | L |
| 16/04 | Rio Claro Brazil NBB |
63-95 | L |
| 07/04 | Franca Brazil NBB |
87-91 | L |
| 02/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
79-87 | L |
| 24/03 | Pato Basquete Brazil NBB |
94-70 | W |
Pinheiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
68-93 | L |
| 07/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
76-85 | L |
| 04/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
94-92 | W |
| 03/06 | Franca Brazil NBB |
75-78 | L |
| 31/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
73-82 | L |
| 27/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
88-76 | W |
| 23/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
82-81 | W |
| 21/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
84-98 | L |
| 19/05 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
95-65 | W |
| 10/05 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
84-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bauru vs Pinheiros?
Our model gives 73% to Bauru.
How many points are expected in Bauru vs Pinheiros?
The model estimates 157.3 total points (Bauru 82.9 · Pinheiros 74.4).