Basketball · France Ligue B · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: UJAP Quimper vs Gries-Souffel
Team pages: UJAP Quimper · Gries-Souffel
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.5Total
UJAP Quimper79.1
Gries-Souffel83.4
1X2
UJAP Quimper
Gries-Souffel
Recent form · 10 last
UJAP Quimper
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Gries-Souffel
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UJAP Quimper
2–4
Gries-Souffel
(6 last)
- Gries-Souffel103-79UJAP Quimper
- UJAP Quimper71-77Gries-Souffel
- Gries-Souffel94-82UJAP Quimper
- UJAP Quimper119-115Gries-Souffel
- UJAP Quimper76-71Gries-Souffel
- Gries-Souffel85-72UJAP Quimper
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UJAP Quimper 1413 · Gries-Souffel 1489
| UJAP Quimper | Gries-Souffel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.5 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.5UJAP Quimper 79.1 · Gries-Souffel 83.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gries-Souffel (rating 1413 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Gries-Souffel: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UJAP Quimper | Gries-Souffel | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.4 / 82.1 | 82.3 / 84.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.2 / 81.6 | 85.2 / 86.6 |
| Est. result | 79 | 83 |
Est. total162.5
Line O/U159.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UJAP Quimper 2–0–4 Gries-Souffel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 France Ligue B | Gries-Souffel | 103-79 | UJAP Quimper |
| 12/12/25 France Ligue B | UJAP Quimper | 71-77 | Gries-Souffel |
| 03/03/23 France Ligue B | Gries-Souffel | 94-82 | UJAP Quimper |
| 10/12/22 France Ligue B | UJAP Quimper | 119-115 | Gries-Souffel |
| 12/02/22 France Ligue B | UJAP Quimper | 76-71 | Gries-Souffel |
| 21/01/22 France Ligue B | Gries-Souffel | 85-72 | UJAP Quimper |
Standings · France Ligue B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 131 | 0 |
| 2 | Evreux | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 157 | 0 |
| 3 | Hyeres Toulon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 173 | 0 |
| 4 | Caen Basket Calvados | 2 | 2 | 0 | 210 | 202 | 0 |
| 5 | Levallois Basketball | 2 | 2 | 0 | 166 | 163 | 0 |
| 6 | Aix Maurienne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 180 | 0 |
| 7 | La Rochelle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 191 | 0 |
| 8 | Gries-Souffel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 169 | 0 |
| 9 | Chalons-Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 164 | 0 |
| 10 | Antibes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 155 | 158 | 0 |
| 11 | Vichy Clermont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 187 | 184 | 0 |
| 12 | Blois | 2 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 179 | 0 |
| 13 | Orleans | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 162 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 149 | 143 | 0 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 177 | 0 |
| 16 | UJAP Quimper | 2 | 0 | 2 | 139 | 155 | 0 |
| 17 | Saint-Chamond | 2 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 205 | 0 |
| 18 | Poitiers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 172 | 191 | 0 |
| 19 | Rouen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 171 | 192 | 0 |
| 20 | Fos-sur-Mer | 2 | 0 | 2 | 153 | 177 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UJAP Quimper | Gries-Souffel |
|---|---|---|
| Denain | 62-75 L | 93-92 W |
| Roanne | 67-81 L | 69-87 L |
| Hyeres Toulon | 81-87 L | 89-92 L |
| Antibes | 80-93 L | 85-74 W |
| Caen Basket Calvados | 77-85 L | 79-70 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gries-Souffel (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UJAP Quimper
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Nantes France Ligue B |
62-76 | L |
| 25/09 | Levallois Basketball France Ligue B |
77-79 | L |
| 15/05 | Denain France Ligue B |
62-75 | L |
| 08/05 | Evreux France Ligue B |
102-83 | W |
| 02/05 | Blois France Ligue B |
78-95 | L |
| 25/04 | Roanne France Ligue B |
67-81 | L |
| 21/04 | Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B |
81-87 | L |
| 17/04 | Antibes France Ligue B |
80-93 | L |
| 11/04 | Saint-Chamond France Ligue B |
78-67 | W |
| 07/04 | Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B |
77-85 | L |
Gries-Souffel
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Antibes France Ligue B |
85-74 | W |
| 25/09 | La Rochelle France Ligue B |
88-95 | L |
| 15/05 | Orleans France Ligue B |
80-81 | L |
| 08/05 | Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B |
84-91 | L |
| 01/05 | Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B |
89-92 | L |
| 24/04 | Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B |
79-70 | W |
| 21/04 | Rouen France Ligue B |
76-79 | L |
| 17/04 | Roanne France Ligue B |
69-87 | L |
| 12/04 | Poitiers France Ligue B |
80-86 | L |
| 07/04 | Denain France Ligue B |
93-92 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UJAP Quimper vs Gries-Souffel?
Our model gives 62% to Gries-Souffel.
How many points are expected in UJAP Quimper vs Gries-Souffel?
The model estimates 162.5 total points (UJAP Quimper 79.1 · Gries-Souffel 83.4).