Basketball · Chile LNB · 26/07, 02:30
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs Deportivo Valdivia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
155.4Total
Puerto Varas75.9
Deportivo Valdivia79.5
1X2
Puerto Varas
Deportivo Valdivia
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Valdivia
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
4–2
Deportivo Valdivia
(6 last)
- Puerto Varas104-86Deportivo Valdivia
- Deportivo Valdivia76-84Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas87-79Deportivo Valdivia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1530 · Deportivo Valdivia 1552
| Puerto Varas | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
155.4 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points155.4Puerto Varas 75.9 · Deportivo Valdivia 79.5
Match keys
- H2H favours Puerto Varas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 71.8 / 76.4 | 89.3 / 74.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70.6 / 81.2 | 94 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 76 | 80 |
Est. total155.4
Line O/U156.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 4–0–2 Deportivo Valdivia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 104-86 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 12/04/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 76-84 | Puerto Varas |
| 22/03/26 Chile Super Cup | Puerto Varas | 87-79 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 18/11/25 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 65-60 | Puerto Varas |
| 16/11/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 82-75 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 15/11/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 68-77 | Deportivo Valdivia |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Espanol Osorno | 4 | 3 | 1 | 346 | 339 | 7 |
| 2 | CD Castro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 364 | 408 | 7 |
| 3 | ABA Ancud | 5 | 2 | 3 | 420 | 432 | 7 |
| 4 | Las Animas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 352 | 318 | 6 |
| 5 | Puerto Varas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 298 | 337 | 6 |
| 6 | Deportivo Valdivia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 295 | 214 | 6 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 85 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Varas | Deportivo Valdivia |
|---|---|---|
| CD Castro | 77-69 W | 90-54 W |
| ABA Ancud | 84-90 L | 97-78 W |
| Puerto Montt | 86-81 W | 88-70 W |
| Espanol Osorno | 55-69 L | 108-82 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
77-69 | W |
| 19/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
84-90 | L |
| 14/07 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
86-81 | W |
| 10/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
51-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
55-69 | L |
| 06/06 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
61-62 | L |
| 05/06 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
87-83 | W |
| 30/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
63-60 | W |
| 29/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
75-81 | L |
| 24/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
79-72 | W |
Deportivo Valdivia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
88-70 | W |
| 16/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
108-82 | W |
| 13/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
97-78 | W |
| 12/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
90-54 | W |
| 22/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
87-90 | L |
| 21/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
57-69 | L |
| 16/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
92-74 | W |
| 15/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-95 | L |
| 10/05 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
97-75 | W |
| 07/05 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
103-56 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs Deportivo Valdivia?
Our model gives 60% to Deportivo Valdivia.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs Deportivo Valdivia?
The model estimates 155.4 total points (Puerto Varas 75.9 · Deportivo Valdivia 79.5).