Basketball · Chile LNB · 26/07, 02:00
Prediction: Puente Alto vs Universidad Catolica
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.2Total
Puente Alto85.6
Universidad Catolica75.7
1X2
Puente Alto
Universidad Catolica
Recent form · 10 last
Puente Alto
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Universidad Catolica
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puente Alto
5–1
Universidad Catolica
(6 last)
- Universidad Catolica70-78Puente Alto
- Puente Alto84-80Universidad Catolica
- Universidad Catolica68-75Puente Alto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puente Alto 1502 · Universidad Catolica 1438
| Puente Alto | Universidad Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.2 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.2Puente Alto 85.6 · Universidad Catolica 75.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puente Alto (rating 1502 vs 1438).
- Puente Alto is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Puente Alto: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puente Alto | Universidad Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80 / 82.3 | 76.5 / 83.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.8 / 85.4 | 79.6 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 86 | 76 |
Est. total161.2
Line O/U162.5
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puente Alto 5–0–1 Universidad Catolica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 70-78 | Puente Alto |
| 13/04/26 Chile LNB | Puente Alto | 84-80 | Universidad Catolica |
| 25/10/25 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 68-75 | Puente Alto |
| 06/10/25 Chile LNB | Puente Alto | 90-92 | Universidad Catolica |
| 30/03/25 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 72-79 | Puente Alto |
| 28/02/25 Chile LNB | Puente Alto | 81-56 | Universidad Catolica |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference Center
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CDU Concepcion | 3 | 3 | 0 | 299 | 238 | 6 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 254 | 5 |
| 3 | CSD Colo Colo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 312 | 337 | 5 |
| 4 | Colegio Los Leones | 2 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 139 | 4 |
| 5 | Puente Alto | 2 | 0 | 2 | 141 | 159 | 2 |
| 6 | CD Espanol Talca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 152 | 183 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puente Alto | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Colo Colo | 84-96 L | 70-69 W |
| Colegio Los Leones | 62-73 L | 71-72 L |
| CDU Concepcion | 79-86 L | 83-104 L |
| CD Espanol Talca | 84-79 W | 93-81 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puente Alto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
84-96 | L |
| 12/07 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
62-73 | L |
| 10/07 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
79-86 | L |
| 26/05 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
68-83 | L |
| 24/05 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
81-89 | L |
| 23/05 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
73-64 | W |
| 17/05 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
93-101 | L |
| 16/05 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
83-76 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
84-79 | W |
| 08/05 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
93-76 | W |
Universidad Catolica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
83-104 | L |
| 11/07 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
93-81 | W |
| 09/07 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
70-69 | W |
| 10/05 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
71-72 | L |
| 08/05 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
81-83 | L |
| 04/05 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
70-78 | L |
| 01/05 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
64-87 | L |
| 27/04 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
72-86 | L |
| 24/04 | CD Boston College Chile LNB |
88-98 | L |
| 20/04 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
73-76 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puente Alto vs Universidad Catolica?
Our model gives 76% to Puente Alto.
How many points are expected in Puente Alto vs Universidad Catolica?
The model estimates 161.2 total points (Puente Alto 85.6 · Universidad Catolica 75.7).