Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 31/10, 09:05
Prediction: Mikawa Seahorses vs Saga Ballooners
Team pages: Mikawa Seahorses · Saga Ballooners
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.2Total
Mikawa Seahorses91.4
Saga Ballooners71.7
1X2
Mikawa Seahorses
Saga Ballooners
Recent form · 10 last
Mikawa Seahorses
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Saga Ballooners
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mikawa Seahorses
6–0
Saga Ballooners
(6 last)
- Saga Ballooners77-83Mikawa Seahorses
- Mikawa Seahorses78-67Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners72-81Mikawa Seahorses
- Saga Ballooners67-92Mikawa Seahorses
- Mikawa Seahorses86-68Saga Ballooners
- Mikawa Seahorses81-63Saga Ballooners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikawa Seahorses 1581 · Saga Ballooners 1354
| Mikawa Seahorses | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 86% | 14% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.2 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -5.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.2Mikawa Seahorses 91.4 · Saga Ballooners 71.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikawa Seahorses (rating 1581 vs 1354).
- Mikawa Seahorses is a clear favourite (92% market).
- H2H favours Mikawa Seahorses: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Mikawa Seahorses | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.5 / 78.2 | 74.4 / 93.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 94 / 76.2 | 75 / 98.4 |
| Est. result | 91 | 72 |
Est. total163.2
Line O/U168.5
Diff.5.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mikawa Seahorses 6–0–0 Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 77-83 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 10/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 78-67 | Saga Ballooners |
| 02/11/25 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 72-81 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 01/11/25 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 67-92 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 02/02/25 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 86-68 | Saga Ballooners |
| 01/02/25 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 81-63 | Saga Ballooners |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 9 | 9 | 0 | 838 | 672 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1016 | 874 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 7 | 6 | 1 | 610 | 554 | 0 |
| 4 | Mikawa Seahorses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 721 | 621 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 11 | 8 | 3 | 950 | 855 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 11 | 6 | 5 | 934 | 893 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 11 | 5 | 6 | 962 | 985 | 0 |
| 8 | Nagasaki Velca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 910 | 963 | 0 |
| 9 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 10 | 4 | 6 | 813 | 824 | 0 |
| 10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1098 | 1138 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 11 | 2 | 9 | 865 | 951 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 11 | 1 | 10 | 831 | 1038 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 11 | 1 | 10 | 762 | 977 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mikawa Seahorses | Saga Ballooners |
|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Alvark | 91-82 W | 88-112 L |
| Kyoto Hannaryz | 89-81 W | 70-115 L |
| Levanga Hokkaido | 78-77 W | 90-109 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mikawa Seahorses (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikawa Seahorses
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
91-82 | W |
| 18/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
99-56 | W |
| 11/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
89-81 | W |
| 09/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
90-105 | L |
| 04/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
101-57 | W |
| 03/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
76-57 | W |
| 27/09 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
78-77 | W |
| 26/09 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1 |
97-106 | L |
| 09/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
79-82 | L |
| 08/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
65-79 | L |
Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
88-112 | L |
| 21/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
66-84 | L |
| 18/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
70-115 | L |
| 16/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
90-109 | L |
| 12/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
61-72 | L |
| 10/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
84-77 | W |
| 08/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
74-90 | L |
| 04/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
89-93 | L |
| 03/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
61-97 | L |
| 27/09 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
61-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikawa Seahorses vs Saga Ballooners?
Our model gives 92% to Mikawa Seahorses.
How many points are expected in Mikawa Seahorses vs Saga Ballooners?
The model estimates 163.2 total points (Mikawa Seahorses 91.4 · Saga Ballooners 71.7).