Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 09/11, 11:05

Prediction: Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Toyama Grouses

Team pages: Shimane Susanoo Magic · Toyama Grouses

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.4Total

Shimane Susanoo Magic84.6

Toyama Grouses82.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Shimane Susanoo Magic Toyama Grouses

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Shimane Susanoo Magic 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Toyama Grouses 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Shimane Susanoo Magic 4–2 Toyama Grouses (6 last)

Toyama Grouses82-79Shimane Susanoo Magic
Shimane Susanoo Magic68-98Toyama Grouses
Toyama Grouses83-115Shimane Susanoo Magic
Shimane Susanoo Magic97-75Toyama Grouses
Toyama Grouses83-92Shimane Susanoo Magic
Shimane Susanoo Magic84-78Toyama Grouses

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shimane Susanoo Magic 1425 · Toyama Grouses 1521

	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Toyama Grouses
Our model	49%	51%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 167.4 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.4Shimane Susanoo Magic 84.6 · Toyama Grouses 82.8

Match keys

H2H favours Shimane Susanoo Magic: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Toyama Grouses
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80 / 85.1	83.4 / 85.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 81.2	81.2 / 85.2
Est. result	85	83

Est. total167.4

Line O/U166.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 167.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.66
2	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.19 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	2
14:57 +8’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:33 +31’	1.75	2.06
15:42 +20’	1.66▼	2.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimane Susanoo Magic 4–0–2 Toyama Grouses

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	82-79	Shimane Susanoo Magic
08/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	68-98	Toyama Grouses
12/11/25 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	83-115	Shimane Susanoo Magic
06/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	97-75	Toyama Grouses
08/11/23 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	83-92	Shimane Susanoo Magic
31/12/22 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	84-78	Toyama Grouses

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	11	11	0	1018	816
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	14	13	1	1265	1108
3	San En Neo Phoenix	9	7	2	786	726
4	Mikawa Seahorses	11	8	3	988	872
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	13	8	5	1102	1014
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	14	7	7	1182	1148
7	Shiga Lakes	13	6	7	1107	1147
8	Nagasaki Velca	15	6	9	1151	1204
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	14	5	9	1165	1203
10	Shimane Susanoo Magic	12	4	8	974	993
11	Kobe Storks	14	4	10	1113	1189
12	Saga Ballooners	13	1	12	992	1222
13	Osaka Evessa	14	1	13	950	1258

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Toyama Grouses
Chiba Jets	78-97 L	83-78 W
Levanga Hokkaido	95-83 W	105-87 W
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	80-90 L	80-93 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Toyama Grouses (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shimane Susanoo Magic

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	73-74	L
31/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	88-95	L
26/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	85-86	L
24/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	79-82	L
19/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	80-69	W
17/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	78-97	L
10/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	69-90	L
07/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	95-83	W
04/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	80-90	L
03/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	73-85	L

Toyama Grouses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	80-93	L
01/11	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	83-78	W
31/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	100-93	W
26/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	61-83	L
24/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	82-79	W
21/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	105-87	W
18/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	56-99	L
11/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	94-74	W
09/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-90	W
07/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	77-81	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Toyama Grouses?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Shimane Susanoo Magic 55% · Toyama Grouses 45%).

How many points are expected in Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Toyama Grouses?

The model estimates 167.4 total points (Shimane Susanoo Magic 84.6 · Toyama Grouses 82.8).