Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 09/11, 11:05
Prediction: Gunma Crane Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Team pages: Gunma Crane Thunders · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.9Total
Gunma Crane Thunders80.2
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins81.6
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Gunma Crane Thunders
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Gunma Crane Thunders
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gunma Crane Thunders
4–2
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
(6 last)
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins74-78Gunma Crane Thunders
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins79-88Gunma Crane Thunders
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins86-78Gunma Crane Thunders
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins77-80Gunma Crane Thunders
- Gunma Crane Thunders78-94Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
- Gunma Crane Thunders76-67Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gunma Crane Thunders 1564 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1619
| Gunma Crane Thunders | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.9 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.9Gunma Crane Thunders 80.2 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 81.6
Match keys
- H2H favours Gunma Crane Thunders: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Gunma Crane Thunders | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.8 / 74.9 | 92.5 / 75.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91 / 74 | 95.6 / 73.4 |
| Est. result | 80 | 82 |
Est. total161.9
Line O/U160.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gunma Crane Thunders 4–0–2 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 74-78 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 28/03/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 79-88 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 05/01/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 86-78 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 04/01/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 77-80 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 05/11/23 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 78-94 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins |
| 04/11/23 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 76-67 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1018 | 816 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1265 | 1108 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 9 | 7 | 2 | 786 | 726 | 0 |
| 4 | Mikawa Seahorses | 11 | 8 | 3 | 988 | 872 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1102 | 1014 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1182 | 1148 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1107 | 1147 | 0 |
| 8 | Nagasaki Velca | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1151 | 1204 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1165 | 1203 | 0 |
| 10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 974 | 993 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1113 | 1189 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 13 | 1 | 12 | 992 | 1222 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 14 | 1 | 13 | 950 | 1258 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
90-83 | W |
| 01/11 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
102-60 | W |
| 31/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
93-60 | W |
| 26/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
85-74 | W |
| 23/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
85-93 | L |
| 19/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
80-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
86-100 | L |
| 12/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
72-61 | W |
| 10/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
59-70 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
76-65 | W |
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
93-80 | W |
| 01/11 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
87-64 | W |
| 30/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
104-69 | W |
| 25/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
96-85 | W |
| 21/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
98-69 | W |
| 19/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
92-77 | W |
| 11/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
90-78 | W |
| 04/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
90-80 | W |
| 03/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
85-73 | W |
| 27/09 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
90-78 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gunma Crane Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Gunma Crane Thunders 46% · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 54%).
How many points are expected in Gunma Crane Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?
The model estimates 161.9 total points (Gunma Crane Thunders 80.2 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 81.6).