Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 09/11, 11:05

Prediction: Nagasaki Velca vs Sendai 89ers

Team pages: Nagasaki Velca · Sendai 89ers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.5Total

Nagasaki Velca79.8

Sendai 89ers83.7

1X2

39% 61%

Nagasaki Velca Sendai 89ers

Recent form · 10 last

Nagasaki Velca 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWWLL

Sendai 89ers 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Nagasaki Velca 4–2 Sendai 89ers (6 last)

Nagasaki Velca88-75Sendai 89ers
Nagasaki Velca99-94Sendai 89ers
Sendai 89ers76-70Nagasaki Velca
Sendai 89ers66-79Nagasaki Velca
Sendai 89ers81-86Nagasaki Velca
Sendai 89ers94-70Nagasaki Velca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nagasaki Velca 1512 · Sendai 89ers 1551

	Nagasaki Velca	Sendai 89ers
Our model	57%	43%
Market	34%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 163.5 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163.5Nagasaki Velca 79.8 · Sendai 89ers 83.7

Match keys

H2H favours Nagasaki Velca: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nagasaki Velca	Sendai 89ers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.4 / 78.5	86.6 / 77.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.4 / 82.8	87 / 79
Est. result	80	84

Est. total163.5

Line O/U159.5

Diff.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.72

21.41

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 1.6 · Est. total: 161.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.72 → 2.72	Pinn 2.81 ★
2	1.41 → 1.41	Pinn 1.41

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
14:42 +22’	2.72	1.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:40 +25’	3.13	1.33
15:42 +20’	2.81▼	1.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagasaki Velca 4–0–2 Sendai 89ers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	88-75	Sendai 89ers
28/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	99-94	Sendai 89ers
29/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	76-70	Nagasaki Velca
28/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	66-79	Nagasaki Velca
12/11/23 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	81-86	Nagasaki Velca
11/11/23 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	94-70	Nagasaki Velca

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	11	11	0	1018	816
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	14	13	1	1265	1108
3	San En Neo Phoenix	9	7	2	786	726
4	Mikawa Seahorses	11	8	3	988	872
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	13	8	5	1102	1014
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	14	7	7	1182	1148
7	Shiga Lakes	13	6	7	1107	1147
8	Nagasaki Velca	15	6	9	1151	1204
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	14	5	9	1165	1203
10	Shimane Susanoo Magic	12	4	8	974	993
11	Kobe Storks	14	4	10	1113	1189
12	Saga Ballooners	13	1	12	992	1222
13	Osaka Evessa	14	1	13	950	1258

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nagasaki Velca	Sendai 89ers
Kobe Storks	87-90 L	80-71 W
Tokyo Sun Rockers	63-95 L	87-79 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sendai 89ers (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nagasaki Velca

WWLLWLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	73-80	L
01/11	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	87-90	L
31/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	81-71	W
26/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	101-84	W
23/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	85-89	L
21/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	84-66	W
19/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	65-82	L
17/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	63-95	L
12/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	85-69	W
10/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	70-59	W

Sendai 89ers

WWWWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	96-69	W
01/11	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	87-79	W
31/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	73-80	L
26/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	86-85	W
24/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	93-82	W
22/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	91-72	W
19/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	80-71	W
17/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	85-81	W
11/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	70-68	W
09/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	105-90	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nagasaki Velca vs Sendai 89ers?

Our model gives 61% to Sendai 89ers.

How many points are expected in Nagasaki Velca vs Sendai 89ers?

The model estimates 163.5 total points (Nagasaki Velca 79.8 · Sendai 89ers 83.7).