Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 31/10, 05:35

Prediction: Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Hiroshima Dragonflies

Team pages: Shimane Susanoo Magic · Hiroshima Dragonflies

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.9Total

Shimane Susanoo Magic79.4

Hiroshima Dragonflies87.5

1X2

28% 72%

Shimane Susanoo Magic Hiroshima Dragonflies

Recent form · 10 last

Shimane Susanoo Magic 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Hiroshima Dragonflies 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Shimane Susanoo Magic 4–2 Hiroshima Dragonflies (6 last)

Hiroshima Dragonflies72-73Shimane Susanoo Magic
Hiroshima Dragonflies102-104Shimane Susanoo Magic
Shimane Susanoo Magic96-88Hiroshima Dragonflies
Shimane Susanoo Magic71-73Hiroshima Dragonflies
Hiroshima Dragonflies88-69Shimane Susanoo Magic
Hiroshima Dragonflies91-94Shimane Susanoo Magic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shimane Susanoo Magic 1492 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1569

	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Hiroshima Dragonflies
Our model	52%	48%
Market	22%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 166.9 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.9Shimane Susanoo Magic 79.4 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 87.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiroshima Dragonflies (rating 1492 vs 1569).
Hiroshima Dragonflies is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Shimane Susanoo Magic: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Hiroshima Dragonflies
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.3 / 82.4	91.6 / 78.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.2 / 84.8	89.4 / 78
Est. result	79	88

Est. total166.9

Line O/U167.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.20

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+9.5)1.83

2 (-9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 167

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
13:47 +3’	4.20	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimane Susanoo Magic 4–0–2 Hiroshima Dragonflies

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	72-73	Shimane Susanoo Magic
18/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	102-104	Shimane Susanoo Magic
14/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	96-88	Hiroshima Dragonflies
13/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Shimane Susanoo Magic	71-73	Hiroshima Dragonflies
04/05/25 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	88-69	Shimane Susanoo Magic
03/05/25 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	91-94	Shimane Susanoo Magic

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	9	9	0	838	672
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	11	10	1	1016	874
3	San En Neo Phoenix	7	6	1	610	554
4	Mikawa Seahorses	8	6	2	721	621
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	11	8	3	950	855
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	11	6	5	934	893
7	Shiga Lakes	11	5	6	962	985
8	Nagasaki Velca	12	5	7	910	963
9	Shimane Susanoo Magic	10	4	6	813	824
10	Shinshu Brave Warriors	13	4	9	1098	1138
11	Kobe Storks	11	2	9	865	951
12	Saga Ballooners	11	1	10	831	1038
13	Osaka Evessa	11	1	10	762	977

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shimane Susanoo Magic

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	85-86	L
24/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	79-82	L
19/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	80-69	W
17/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	78-97	L
10/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	69-90	L
07/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	95-83	W
04/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	80-90	L
03/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	73-85	L
25/09	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	85-78	W
23/09	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	89-64	W

Hiroshima Dragonflies

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	90-64	W
24/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	93-96	L
21/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	98-84	W
19/10	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	77-75	W
17/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	89-71	W
10/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	111-105	W
07/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-86	W
04/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	83-72	W
02/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	96-73	W
27/09	Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1	89-61	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?

Our model gives 72% to Hiroshima Dragonflies.

How many points are expected in Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?

The model estimates 166.9 total points (Shimane Susanoo Magic 79.4 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 87.5).