Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 30/10, 11:30

Prediction: Akita Northern Happinets vs Altiri Chiba

Team pages: Akita Northern Happinets · Altiri Chiba

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.4Total

Akita Northern Happinets83.9

Altiri Chiba81.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Akita Northern Happinets Altiri Chiba

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Akita Northern Happinets 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWLLWL

Altiri Chiba 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Akita Northern Happinets 0–4 Altiri Chiba (4 last)

Altiri Chiba75-74Akita Northern Happinets
Altiri Chiba83-65Akita Northern Happinets
Akita Northern Happinets74-85Altiri Chiba
Akita Northern Happinets98-101Altiri Chiba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Akita Northern Happinets 1454 · Altiri Chiba 1465

	Akita Northern Happinets	Altiri Chiba
Our model	61%	39%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 165.4 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.4Akita Northern Happinets 83.9 · Altiri Chiba 81.5

Match keys

H2H favours Altiri Chiba: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Akita Northern Happinets	Altiri Chiba
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.3 / 85.5	79.7 / 87.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.2 / 89.6	75.8 / 87
Est. result	84	82

Est. total165.4

Line O/U162.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 3.85 · Est. total: 166.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.73 ★
2	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
14:08 +39’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:43 +4’	1.77	2.03
15:13 +34’	1.73▼	2.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Akita Northern Happinets 0–0–4 Altiri Chiba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Altiri Chiba	75-74	Akita Northern Happinets
18/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Altiri Chiba	83-65	Akita Northern Happinets
08/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	74-85	Altiri Chiba
07/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	98-101	Altiri Chiba

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	12	9	3	1129	1002
2	Sendai 89ers	12	9	3	1039	961
3	Tokyo Sun Rockers	12	8	4	1092	950
4	Gunma Crane Thunders	11	7	4	868	827
5	Levanga Hokkaido	10	6	4	978	939
6	Toyama Grouses	11	6	5	905	943
7	Utsunomiya Brex	11	5	6	895	902
8	Ibaraki Robots	12	5	7	982	950
9	Yokohama B-Corsairs	12	5	7	955	1033
10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	11	4	7	900	942
11	Chiba Jets	11	4	7	1006	1078
12	Akita Northern Happinets	11	4	7	858	936
13	Altiri Chiba	12	3	9	930	1039

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Akita Northern Happinets	Altiri Chiba
Hiroshima Dragonflies	84-98 L	71-89 L
Kanagawa Brave Thunders	81-87 L	74-82 L
Sendai 89ers	75-73 W	74-81 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Akita Northern Happinets (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Akita Northern Happinets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	71-79	L
24/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	95-86	W
21/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	84-98	L
19/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	74-90	L
17/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	102-95	W
11/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	82-71	W
08/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	81-87	L
04/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	76-86	L
03/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	63-90	L
27/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	75-73	W

Altiri Chiba

WLLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	74-85	L
24/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	87-102	L
21/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-94	L
19/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	82-65	W
17/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	71-89	L
11/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	74-94	L
09/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	97-90	W
07/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	74-81	L
04/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	74-82	L
03/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	99-90	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Akita Northern Happinets vs Altiri Chiba?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Akita Northern Happinets 57% · Altiri Chiba 43%).

How many points are expected in Akita Northern Happinets vs Altiri Chiba?

The model estimates 165.4 total points (Akita Northern Happinets 83.9 · Altiri Chiba 81.5).