Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 30/10, 11:35

Prediction: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Shiga Lakes

Team pages: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins · Shiga Lakes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.7Total

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins93.9

Shiga Lakes78.8

1X2

86% 14%

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Shiga Lakes

Recent form · 10 last

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Shiga Lakes 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 3–3 Shiga Lakes (6 last)

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins84-86Shiga Lakes
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins106-95Shiga Lakes
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins86-94Shiga Lakes
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins80-93Shiga Lakes
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins85-62Shiga Lakes
Shiga Lakes82-104Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1631 · Shiga Lakes 1512

	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	Shiga Lakes
Our model	77%	23%
Market	88%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 172.7 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.7Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 93.9 · Shiga Lakes 78.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (rating 1631 vs 1512).
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins is a clear favourite (86% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	Shiga Lakes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.3 / 77.8	89.3 / 88.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.2 / 77.8	89.6 / 90.2
Est. result	94	79

Est. total172.7

Line O/U172.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.06

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.83

2 (+14.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 171.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
15:34 +12’	1.06	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:34 +13’	1.06	7.43
15:11 +36’	1.06▼	7.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 3–0–3 Shiga Lakes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	84-86	Shiga Lakes
18/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	106-95	Shiga Lakes
30/03/25 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	86-94	Shiga Lakes
29/03/25 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	80-93	Shiga Lakes
11/01/23 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	85-62	Shiga Lakes
27/11/22 Japan B League Premier	Shiga Lakes	82-104	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	8	8	0	734	603
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	11	10	1	1016	874
3	San En Neo Phoenix	7	6	1	610	554
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	10	8	2	878	775
5	Mikawa Seahorses	8	6	2	721	621
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	11	6	5	934	893
7	Shiga Lakes	10	5	5	893	881
8	Nagasaki Velca	12	5	7	910	963
9	Shimane Susanoo Magic	10	4	6	813	824
10	Shinshu Brave Warriors	12	3	9	1018	1066
11	Kobe Storks	11	2	9	865	951
12	Saga Ballooners	11	1	10	831	1038
13	Osaka Evessa	11	1	10	762	977

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	Shiga Lakes
Tokyo Sun Rockers	96-85 W	85-92 L
Shinshu Brave Warriors	92-77 W	95-76 W
Ryukyu Golden Kings	74-90 L	67-99 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-85	W
21/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	98-69	W
19/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	92-77	W
11/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-78	W
04/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	90-80	W
03/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	85-73	W
27/09	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	90-78	W
26/09	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League 1	93-63	W
16/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	74-90	L
15/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-85	L

Shiga Lakes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	89-85	W
21/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	92-80	W
19/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	67-99	L
12/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	95-76	W
10/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	105-111	L
07/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	85-92	L
04/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	98-72	W
03/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	87-94	L
27/09	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	81-77	W
25/09	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1	94-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Shiga Lakes?

Our model gives 86% to Nagoya Diamond Dolphins.

How many points are expected in Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Shiga Lakes?

The model estimates 172.7 total points (Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 93.9 · Shiga Lakes 78.8).