Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 31/10, 06:05

Prediction: Chiba Jets vs Toyama Grouses

Team pages: Chiba Jets · Toyama Grouses

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.9Total

Chiba Jets90.5

Toyama Grouses84.4

1X2

67% 33%

Chiba Jets Toyama Grouses

Markets

Under 176.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Chiba Jets 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Toyama Grouses 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chiba Jets 6–0 Toyama Grouses (6 last)

Chiba Jets88-73Toyama Grouses
Chiba Jets79-72Toyama Grouses
Toyama Grouses73-91Chiba Jets
Toyama Grouses92-93Chiba Jets
Toyama Grouses61-87Chiba Jets
Toyama Grouses55-82Chiba Jets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiba Jets 1446 · Toyama Grouses 1475

	Chiba Jets	Toyama Grouses
Our model	59%	41%
Market	69%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 174.9 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points174.9Chiba Jets 90.5 · Toyama Grouses 84.4

Over / Under 176.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~170.6 pts · strength 6

Match keys

Chiba Jets is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Chiba Jets: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chiba Jets	Toyama Grouses
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.9 / 98.6	80.6 / 85.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.6 / 92	79.6 / 84.4
Est. result	91	84

Est. total174.9

Line O/U176.5

Diff.1.6

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.34

23.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.83

2 (+6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 176.51.83

Under 176.51.83

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 177.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.34 → 1.34	Bet365 1.34
2	3.05 → 3.05	Bet365 3.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
13:44 +6’	1.34	3.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiba Jets 6–0–0 Toyama Grouses

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Chiba Jets	88-73	Toyama Grouses
03/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Chiba Jets	79-72	Toyama Grouses
28/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	73-91	Chiba Jets
27/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	92-93	Chiba Jets
27/11/22 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	61-87	Chiba Jets
26/11/22 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	55-82	Chiba Jets

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	12	9	3	1129	1002
2	Sendai 89ers	12	9	3	1039	961
3	Tokyo Sun Rockers	12	8	4	1092	950
4	Gunma Crane Thunders	11	7	4	868	827
5	Levanga Hokkaido	10	6	4	978	939
6	Toyama Grouses	11	6	5	905	943
7	Utsunomiya Brex	11	5	6	895	902
8	Ibaraki Robots	12	5	7	982	950
9	Yokohama B-Corsairs	12	5	7	955	1033
10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	11	4	7	900	942
11	Chiba Jets	11	4	7	1006	1078
12	Akita Northern Happinets	12	4	8	943	1025
13	Altiri Chiba	13	4	9	1019	1124

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chiba Jets	Toyama Grouses
Kyoto Hannaryz	79-102 L	77-81 L
Tokyo Sun Rockers	64-107 L	96-90 W
Shimane Susanoo Magic	97-78 W	82-79 W
Levanga Hokkaido	109-103 W	105-87 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Toyama Grouses (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chiba Jets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	87-65	W
21/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	79-102	L
19/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	64-107	L
17/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	97-78	W
12/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	106-108	L
10/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	109-103	W
08/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	86-94	L
04/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	71-96	L
02/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	131-138	L
26/09	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League 1	79-95	L

Toyama Grouses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	61-83	L
24/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	82-79	W
21/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	105-87	W
18/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	56-99	L
11/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	94-74	W
09/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-90	W
07/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	77-81	L
04/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-99	L
03/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-67	W
27/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	81-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiba Jets vs Toyama Grouses?

Our model gives 67% to Chiba Jets.

How many points are expected in Chiba Jets vs Toyama Grouses?

The model estimates 174.9 total points (Chiba Jets 90.5 · Toyama Grouses 84.4).

Over or under 176.5 points?

Recent history points to under 176.5 points (65%).