Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 31/10, 06:05

Prediction: Kobe Storks vs Nagasaki Velca

Team pages: Kobe Storks · Nagasaki Velca

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160.5Total

Kobe Storks80.1

Nagasaki Velca80.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Kobe Storks Nagasaki Velca

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Kobe Storks 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLLL

Nagasaki Velca 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Kobe Storks 3–2 Nagasaki Velca (5 last)

Nagasaki Velca85-69Kobe Storks
Nagasaki Velca91-97Kobe Storks
Nagasaki Velca86-76Kobe Storks
Kobe Storks94-78Nagasaki Velca
Kobe Storks100-95Nagasaki Velca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kobe Storks 1429 · Nagasaki Velca 1482

	Kobe Storks	Nagasaki Velca
Our model	55%	45%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 160.5 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points160.5Kobe Storks 80.1 · Nagasaki Velca 80.4

Match keys

H2H favours Kobe Storks: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kobe Storks	Nagasaki Velca
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.6 / 87.2	76.8 / 78.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.2 / 89	79.6 / 83.2
Est. result	80	80

Est. total160.5

Line O/U159.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 161.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	2
13:46 +3’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kobe Storks 3–0–2 Nagasaki Velca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	85-69	Kobe Storks
01/01/23 Japan B League One	Nagasaki Velca	91-97	Kobe Storks
31/12/22 Japan B League One	Nagasaki Velca	86-76	Kobe Storks
23/10/22 Japan B League One	Kobe Storks	94-78	Nagasaki Velca
22/10/22 Japan B League One	Kobe Storks	100-95	Nagasaki Velca

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	9	9	0	838	672
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	11	10	1	1016	874
3	San En Neo Phoenix	7	6	1	610	554
4	Mikawa Seahorses	8	6	2	721	621
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	11	8	3	950	855
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	11	6	5	934	893
7	Shiga Lakes	11	5	6	962	985
8	Nagasaki Velca	12	5	7	910	963
9	Shimane Susanoo Magic	10	4	6	813	824
10	Shinshu Brave Warriors	13	4	9	1098	1138
11	Kobe Storks	11	2	9	865	951
12	Saga Ballooners	11	1	10	831	1038
13	Osaka Evessa	11	1	10	762	977

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kobe Storks	Nagasaki Velca
Shinshu Brave Warriors	87-97 L	74-71 W
Shiga Lakes	80-92 L	85-89 L
Saga Ballooners	77-84 L	84-66 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nagasaki Velca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kobe Storks

WLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	87-97	L
24/10	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	89-91	L
21/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	80-92	L
19/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	71-80	L
12/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	69-85	L
10/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	77-84	L
08/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	94-86	W
04/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	72-83	L
02/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	73-96	L
27/09	Osaka Evessa Japan B League 1	84-78	W

Nagasaki Velca

LLWWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	101-84	W
23/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	85-89	L
21/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	84-66	W
19/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	65-82	L
17/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	63-95	L
12/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	85-69	W
10/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	70-59	W
08/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	74-71	W
04/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	65-90	L
03/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	76-84	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kobe Storks vs Nagasaki Velca?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Kobe Storks 49% · Nagasaki Velca 51%).

How many points are expected in Kobe Storks vs Nagasaki Velca?

The model estimates 160.5 total points (Kobe Storks 80.1 · Nagasaki Velca 80.4).