Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 31/10, 09:05

Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex

Team pages: Tokyo Alvark · Utsunomiya Brex

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.5Total

Tokyo Alvark89.5

Utsunomiya Brex80.9

1X2

73% 27%

Tokyo Alvark Utsunomiya Brex

Recent form · 10 last

Tokyo Alvark 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Utsunomiya Brex 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tokyo Alvark 3–3 Utsunomiya Brex (6 last)

Utsunomiya Brex82-84Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark67-65Utsunomiya Brex
Tokyo Alvark64-66Utsunomiya Brex
Tokyo Alvark56-81Utsunomiya Brex
Utsunomiya Brex61-55Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark63-61Utsunomiya Brex

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1577 · Utsunomiya Brex 1453

	Tokyo Alvark	Utsunomiya Brex
Our model	77%	23%
Market	72%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 170.5 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.5Tokyo Alvark 89.5 · Utsunomiya Brex 80.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Alvark (rating 1577 vs 1453).
Tokyo Alvark is a clear favourite (73% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tokyo Alvark	Utsunomiya Brex
Points F\|A (Last 10)	97.1 / 84.4	80.7 / 82.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90 / 81.6	81.8 / 87
Est. result	90	81

Est. total170.5

Line O/U169.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.29

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 172.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
13:28 +23’	1.29	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 3–0–3 Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	82-84	Tokyo Alvark
12/11/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	67-65	Utsunomiya Brex
05/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	64-66	Utsunomiya Brex
03/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	56-81	Utsunomiya Brex
23/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	61-55	Tokyo Alvark
05/03/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	63-61	Utsunomiya Brex

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	12	9	3	1129	1002
2	Sendai 89ers	12	9	3	1039	961
3	Tokyo Sun Rockers	12	8	4	1092	950
4	Gunma Crane Thunders	11	7	4	868	827
5	Levanga Hokkaido	10	6	4	978	939
6	Toyama Grouses	11	6	5	905	943
7	Utsunomiya Brex	11	5	6	895	902
8	Ibaraki Robots	12	5	7	982	950
9	Yokohama B-Corsairs	12	5	7	955	1033
10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	11	4	7	900	942
11	Chiba Jets	11	4	7	1006	1078
12	Akita Northern Happinets	12	4	8	943	1025
13	Altiri Chiba	13	4	9	1019	1124

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tokyo Alvark	Utsunomiya Brex
Ibaraki Robots	66-69 L	90-79 W
Akita Northern Happinets	90-74 W	71-82 L
Gunma Crane Thunders	100-86 W	83-80 W
Kanagawa Brave Thunders	94-82 W	89-92 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo Alvark (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	112-88	W
24/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	82-91	L
22/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	66-69	L
19/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
17/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	100-86	W
12/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	103-78	W
10/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	94-82	W
08/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
04/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	96-71	W
02/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	138-131	W

Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	89-92	L
24/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	87-80	W
21/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	69-98	L
19/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	83-80	W
17/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	81-85	L
11/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	71-82	L
09/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-79	W
04/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	99-77	W
03/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	67-77	L
27/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	71-74	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex?

Our model gives 73% to Tokyo Alvark.

How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex?

The model estimates 170.5 total points (Tokyo Alvark 89.5 · Utsunomiya Brex 80.9).