Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 01/11, 06:05

Prediction: Chiba Jets vs Toyama Grouses

Team pages: Chiba Jets · Toyama Grouses

Prediction summary

Estimated points

177.4Total

Chiba Jets91.2

Toyama Grouses86.2

1X2

64% 36%

Chiba Jets Toyama Grouses

Recent form · 10 last

Chiba Jets 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Toyama Grouses 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chiba Jets 5–1 Toyama Grouses (6 last)

Chiba Jets93-100Toyama Grouses
Chiba Jets88-73Toyama Grouses
Chiba Jets79-72Toyama Grouses
Toyama Grouses73-91Chiba Jets
Toyama Grouses92-93Chiba Jets
Toyama Grouses61-87Chiba Jets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiba Jets 1453 · Toyama Grouses 1503

	Chiba Jets	Toyama Grouses
Our model	56%	44%
Market	66%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 177.4 points · Bet365 line 179 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points177.4Chiba Jets 91.2 · Toyama Grouses 86.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toyama Grouses (rating 1453 vs 1503).
H2H favours Chiba Jets: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chiba Jets	Toyama Grouses
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.3 / 99.1	82.5 / 85.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84 / 90.4	80.8 / 88.2
Est. result	91	86

Est. total177.4

Line O/U179

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.41

22.72

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 1791.83

Under 1791.83

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 179.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.41 → 1.41	Pinn 1.47 ★
2	2.72 → 2.72	Bet365 2.72

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	2
15:10 +7’	1.41	2.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:36 +61’	1.47	2.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiba Jets 5–0–1 Toyama Grouses

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Chiba Jets	93-100	Toyama Grouses
04/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Chiba Jets	88-73	Toyama Grouses
03/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Chiba Jets	79-72	Toyama Grouses
28/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	73-91	Chiba Jets
27/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	92-93	Chiba Jets
27/11/22 Japan B League Premier	Toyama Grouses	61-87	Chiba Jets

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	13	10	3	1229	1092
2	Tokyo Sun Rockers	13	9	4	1172	1023
3	Sendai 89ers	13	9	4	1112	1041
4	Gunma Crane Thunders	12	8	4	961	887
5	Toyama Grouses	12	7	5	1005	1036
6	Levanga Hokkaido	11	6	5	1047	1040
7	Ibaraki Robots	13	6	7	1083	1019
8	Yokohama B-Corsairs	13	6	7	1030	1098
9	Utsunomiya Brex	12	5	7	985	1002
10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	12	4	8	965	1017
11	Chiba Jets	12	4	8	1099	1178
12	Akita Northern Happinets	12	4	8	943	1025
13	Altiri Chiba	13	4	9	1019	1124

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chiba Jets	Toyama Grouses
Kyoto Hannaryz	79-102 L	77-81 L
Tokyo Sun Rockers	64-107 L	96-90 W
Shimane Susanoo Magic	97-78 W	82-79 W
Levanga Hokkaido	109-103 W	105-87 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Toyama Grouses (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiba Jets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	93-100	L
25/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	87-65	W
21/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	79-102	L
19/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	64-107	L
17/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	97-78	W
12/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	106-108	L
10/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	109-103	W
08/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	86-94	L
04/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	71-96	L
02/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	131-138	L

Toyama Grouses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	100-93	W
26/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	61-83	L
24/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	82-79	W
21/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	105-87	W
18/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	56-99	L
11/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	94-74	W
09/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-90	W
07/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	77-81	L
04/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-99	L
03/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-67	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiba Jets vs Toyama Grouses?

Our model gives 64% to Chiba Jets.

How many points are expected in Chiba Jets vs Toyama Grouses?

The model estimates 177.4 total points (Chiba Jets 91.2 · Toyama Grouses 86.2).