Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 10/11, 11:05
Prediction: Mikawa Seahorses vs Shinshu Brave Warriors
Team pages: Mikawa Seahorses · Shinshu Brave Warriors
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.8Total
Mikawa Seahorses91.5
Shinshu Brave Warriors79.2
1X2
Mikawa Seahorses
Shinshu Brave Warriors
Recent form · 10 last
Mikawa Seahorses
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Shinshu Brave Warriors
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mikawa Seahorses
6–0
Shinshu Brave Warriors
(6 last)
- Mikawa Seahorses85-74Shinshu Brave Warriors
- Mikawa Seahorses80-67Shinshu Brave Warriors
- Mikawa Seahorses85-76Shinshu Brave Warriors
- Shinshu Brave Warriors62-83Mikawa Seahorses
- Shinshu Brave Warriors61-73Mikawa Seahorses
- Shinshu Brave Warriors61-75Mikawa Seahorses
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikawa Seahorses 1580 · Shinshu Brave Warriors 1479
| Mikawa Seahorses | Shinshu Brave Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.8 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.8Mikawa Seahorses 91.5 · Shinshu Brave Warriors 79.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikawa Seahorses (rating 1580 vs 1479).
- Mikawa Seahorses is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Mikawa Seahorses: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Mikawa Seahorses | Shinshu Brave Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 90.9 / 78 | 84.4 / 87.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.8 / 84.8 | 85 / 81.4 |
| Est. result | 92 | 79 |
Est. total170.8
Line O/U173.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mikawa Seahorses 6–0–0 Shinshu Brave Warriors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 85-74 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
| 04/02/24 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 80-67 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
| 03/02/24 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 85-76 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
| 06/12/23 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 62-83 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 30/04/23 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 61-73 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 29/04/23 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 61-75 | Mikawa Seahorses |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1018 | 816 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1265 | 1108 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1084 | 963 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 10 | 7 | 3 | 853 | 814 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1102 | 1014 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1182 | 1148 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1198 | 1243 | 0 |
| 8 | Nagasaki Velca | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1151 | 1204 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1266 | 1299 | 0 |
| 10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 974 | 993 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1113 | 1189 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1095 | 1333 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 14 | 1 | 13 | 950 | 1258 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mikawa Seahorses | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Shiga Lakes | 96-91 W | 76-95 L |
| Kyoto Hannaryz | 89-81 W | 67-65 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mikawa Seahorses (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikawa Seahorses
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
96-91 | W |
| 06/11 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
83-90 | L |
| 01/11 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
84-78 | W |
| 31/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
100-83 | W |
| 24/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
91-82 | W |
| 18/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
99-56 | W |
| 11/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
89-81 | W |
| 09/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
90-105 | L |
| 04/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
101-57 | W |
| 03/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
76-57 | W |
Shinshu Brave Warriors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
101-96 | W |
| 01/11 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
67-65 | W |
| 30/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
80-72 | W |
| 26/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
97-87 | W |
| 24/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
80-87 | L |
| 21/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
90-97 | L |
| 19/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
77-92 | L |
| 17/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
95-102 | L |
| 12/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
76-95 | L |
| 10/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
81-83 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikawa Seahorses vs Shinshu Brave Warriors?
Our model gives 81% to Mikawa Seahorses.
How many points are expected in Mikawa Seahorses vs Shinshu Brave Warriors?
The model estimates 170.8 total points (Mikawa Seahorses 91.5 · Shinshu Brave Warriors 79.2).