Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 10/11, 11:05

Prediction: Chiba Jets vs Osaka Evessa

Team pages: Chiba Jets · Osaka Evessa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.5Total

Chiba Jets95.1

Osaka Evessa76.4

1X2

91% 9%

Chiba Jets Osaka Evessa

Recent form · 10 last

Chiba Jets 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Osaka Evessa 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chiba Jets 5–1 Osaka Evessa (6 last)

Osaka Evessa65-87Chiba Jets
Osaka Evessa78-94Chiba Jets
Osaka Evessa82-90Chiba Jets
Osaka Evessa81-89Chiba Jets
Osaka Evessa88-76Chiba Jets
Osaka Evessa77-89Chiba Jets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiba Jets 1499 · Osaka Evessa 1326

	Chiba Jets	Osaka Evessa
Our model	82%	18%
Market	93%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 171.5 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171.5Chiba Jets 95.1 · Osaka Evessa 76.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiba Jets (rating 1499 vs 1326).
Chiba Jets is a clear favourite (91% market).
H2H favours Chiba Jets: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chiba Jets	Osaka Evessa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.3 / 93.6	67.9 / 92.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.6 / 87.6	64.8 / 92.6
Est. result	95	76

Est. total171.5

Line O/U173.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-20.5)1.83

2 (+20.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 172.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
09:36 +10’	1.01	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiba Jets 5–0–1 Osaka Evessa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	65-87	Chiba Jets
08/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	78-94	Chiba Jets
07/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	82-90	Chiba Jets
22/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	81-89	Chiba Jets
21/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	88-76	Chiba Jets
04/02/24 Japan B League Premier	Osaka Evessa	77-89	Chiba Jets

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	11	11	0	1018	816
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	14	13	1	1265	1108
3	Mikawa Seahorses	12	9	3	1084	963
4	San En Neo Phoenix	10	7	3	853	814
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	13	8	5	1102	1014
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	14	7	7	1182	1148
7	Shiga Lakes	14	6	8	1198	1243
8	Nagasaki Velca	15	6	9	1151	1204
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	15	6	9	1266	1299
10	Shimane Susanoo Magic	12	4	8	974	993
11	Kobe Storks	14	4	10	1113	1189
12	Saga Ballooners	14	1	13	1095	1333
13	Osaka Evessa	14	1	13	950	1258

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chiba Jets	Osaka Evessa
Altiri Chiba	89-87 W	90-97 L
Tokyo Sun Rockers	64-107 L	71-95 L
Yokohama B-Corsairs	106-108 L	57-66 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Chiba Jets (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiba Jets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	111-103	W
06/11	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	89-87	W
01/11	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	78-83	L
31/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	93-100	L
25/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	87-65	W
21/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	79-102	L
19/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	64-107	L
17/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	97-78	W
12/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	106-108	L
10/10	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	109-103	W

Osaka Evessa

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	68-86	L
01/11	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	60-102	L
31/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	60-93	L
25/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	65-87	L
23/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	71-95	L
21/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	67-101	L
18/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	63-98	L
12/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	78-103	L
09/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	90-97	L
07/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	57-66	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiba Jets vs Osaka Evessa?

Our model gives 91% to Chiba Jets.

How many points are expected in Chiba Jets vs Osaka Evessa?

The model estimates 171.5 total points (Chiba Jets 95.1 · Osaka Evessa 76.4).