Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 01/11, 07:05

Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex

Team pages: Tokyo Alvark · Utsunomiya Brex

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.7Total

Tokyo Alvark90.8

Utsunomiya Brex80.9

1X2

76% 24%

Tokyo Alvark Utsunomiya Brex

Recent form · 10 last

Tokyo Alvark 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Utsunomiya Brex 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Tokyo Alvark 3–3 Utsunomiya Brex (6 last)

Tokyo Alvark100-90Utsunomiya Brex
Utsunomiya Brex82-84Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark67-65Utsunomiya Brex
Tokyo Alvark64-66Utsunomiya Brex
Tokyo Alvark56-81Utsunomiya Brex
Utsunomiya Brex61-55Tokyo Alvark

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1597 · Utsunomiya Brex 1458

	Tokyo Alvark	Utsunomiya Brex
Our model	79%	21%
Market	75%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 171.7 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · -2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171.7Tokyo Alvark 90.8 · Utsunomiya Brex 80.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Alvark (rating 1597 vs 1458).
Tokyo Alvark is a clear favourite (76% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tokyo Alvark	Utsunomiya Brex
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.3 / 80.3	82.6 / 85
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90 / 82.4	83.6 / 90
Est. result	91	81

Est. total171.7

Line O/U174.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.24

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.83

2 (+8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 174.51.83

Under 174.51.83

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 170.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.24 → 1.24	Pinn 1.28 ★
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
21:07 +42’	1.24	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:24 +25’	1.28	3.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 3–0–3 Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	100-90	Utsunomiya Brex
08/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	82-84	Tokyo Alvark
12/11/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	67-65	Utsunomiya Brex
05/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	64-66	Utsunomiya Brex
03/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	56-81	Utsunomiya Brex
23/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	61-55	Tokyo Alvark

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	13	10	3	1229	1092
2	Tokyo Sun Rockers	13	9	4	1172	1023
3	Sendai 89ers	13	9	4	1112	1041
4	Gunma Crane Thunders	12	8	4	961	887
5	Toyama Grouses	12	7	5	1005	1036
6	Levanga Hokkaido	11	6	5	1047	1040
7	Ibaraki Robots	13	6	7	1083	1019
8	Yokohama B-Corsairs	13	6	7	1030	1098
9	Utsunomiya Brex	12	5	7	985	1002
10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	12	4	8	965	1017
11	Chiba Jets	12	4	8	1099	1178
12	Akita Northern Happinets	12	4	8	943	1025
13	Altiri Chiba	13	4	9	1019	1124

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tokyo Alvark	Utsunomiya Brex
Ibaraki Robots	66-69 L	90-79 W
Akita Northern Happinets	90-74 W	71-82 L
Gunma Crane Thunders	100-86 W	83-80 W
Kanagawa Brave Thunders	94-82 W	89-92 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo Alvark (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	100-90	W
26/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	112-88	W
24/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	82-91	L
22/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	66-69	L
19/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
17/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	100-86	W
12/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	103-78	W
10/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	94-82	W
08/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
04/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	96-71	W

Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	90-100	L
26/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	89-92	L
24/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	87-80	W
21/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	69-98	L
19/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	83-80	W
17/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	81-85	L
11/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	71-82	L
09/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-79	W
04/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	99-77	W
03/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	67-77	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex?

Our model gives 76% to Tokyo Alvark.

How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex?

The model estimates 171.7 total points (Tokyo Alvark 90.8 · Utsunomiya Brex 80.9).