Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 01/11, 07:05
Prediction: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Shiga Lakes
Team pages: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins · Shiga Lakes
Prediction summary
Estimated points
174Total
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins95.2
Shiga Lakes78.8
1X2
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Shiga Lakes
Recent form · 10 last
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Shiga Lakes
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
3–3
Shiga Lakes
(6 last)
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins104-69Shiga Lakes
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins84-86Shiga Lakes
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins106-95Shiga Lakes
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins86-94Shiga Lakes
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins80-93Shiga Lakes
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins85-62Shiga Lakes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1635 · Shiga Lakes 1500
| Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
174 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points174Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 95.2 · Shiga Lakes 78.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (rating 1635 vs 1500).
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins is a clear favourite (88% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.2 / 76.2 | 86.8 / 89 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 96 / 75.6 | 82.4 / 88.8 |
| Est. result | 95 | 79 |
Est. total174
Line O/U173.5
Diff.0.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 3–0–3 Shiga Lakes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 104-69 | Shiga Lakes |
| 19/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 84-86 | Shiga Lakes |
| 18/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 106-95 | Shiga Lakes |
| 30/03/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 86-94 | Shiga Lakes |
| 29/03/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 80-93 | Shiga Lakes |
| 11/01/23 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 85-62 | Shiga Lakes |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 9 | 9 | 0 | 838 | 672 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1111 | 962 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 9 | 7 | 2 | 821 | 704 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 8 | 6 | 2 | 690 | 640 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 11 | 8 | 3 | 950 | 855 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1020 | 973 | 0 |
| 7 | Nagasaki Velca | 13 | 6 | 7 | 991 | 1034 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 11 | 5 | 6 | 962 | 985 | 0 |
| 9 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 11 | 4 | 7 | 901 | 919 | 0 |
| 10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1098 | 1138 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 12 | 2 | 10 | 936 | 1032 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 12 | 1 | 11 | 914 | 1138 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 12 | 1 | 11 | 822 | 1070 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | Shiga Lakes |
|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Sun Rockers | 96-85 W | 85-92 L |
| Shinshu Brave Warriors | 92-77 W | 95-76 W |
| Ryukyu Golden Kings | 74-90 L | 67-99 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
104-69 | W |
| 25/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
96-85 | W |
| 21/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
98-69 | W |
| 19/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
92-77 | W |
| 11/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
90-78 | W |
| 04/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
90-80 | W |
| 03/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
85-73 | W |
| 27/09 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
90-78 | W |
| 26/09 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League 1 |
93-63 | W |
| 16/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
74-90 | L |
Shiga Lakes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
69-104 | L |
| 23/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
89-85 | W |
| 21/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
92-80 | W |
| 19/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
67-99 | L |
| 12/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
95-76 | W |
| 10/10 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
105-111 | L |
| 07/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
85-92 | L |
| 04/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
98-72 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
87-94 | L |
| 27/09 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
81-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Shiga Lakes?
Our model gives 88% to Nagoya Diamond Dolphins.
How many points are expected in Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Shiga Lakes?
The model estimates 174 total points (Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 95.2 · Shiga Lakes 78.8).