Basketball · Poland PLK · 02/10, 20:15

Prediction: Trefl Sopot vs Dziki Warszawa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.5Total

Trefl Sopot89

Dziki Warszawa86.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Trefl Sopot Dziki Warszawa

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Trefl Sopot 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWLL

Dziki Warszawa 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Trefl Sopot 2–4 Dziki Warszawa (6 last)

Dziki Warszawa88-73Trefl Sopot
Dziki Warszawa85-78Trefl Sopot
Trefl Sopot81-78Dziki Warszawa
Trefl Sopot92-107Dziki Warszawa
Trefl Sopot64-104Dziki Warszawa
Dziki Warszawa80-86Trefl Sopot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trefl Sopot 1512 · Dziki Warszawa 1542

	Trefl Sopot	Dziki Warszawa
Our model	59%	41%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 175.5 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points175.5Trefl Sopot 89 · Dziki Warszawa 86.5

Match keys

H2H favours Dziki Warszawa: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Trefl Sopot	Dziki Warszawa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.5 / 87.9	85.4 / 86.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.6 / 90.4	82 / 86.8
Est. result	89	87

Est. total175.5

Line O/U172.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 172.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.88 ★
2	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
15:41 +12’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:29 +30’	1.90	1.88
23:14 +34’	1.80▼	1.99▲
08:38 +10’	1.90▲	1.88▼
15:41 +12’	1.88▼	1.91▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trefl Sopot 2–0–4 Dziki Warszawa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 Poland PLK	Dziki Warszawa	88-73	Trefl Sopot
19/05/26 Poland PLK	Dziki Warszawa	85-78	Trefl Sopot
16/05/26 Poland PLK	Trefl Sopot	81-78	Dziki Warszawa
14/05/26 Poland PLK	Trefl Sopot	92-107	Dziki Warszawa
31/01/26 Poland PLK	Trefl Sopot	64-104	Dziki Warszawa
11/10/25 Poland PLK	Dziki Warszawa	80-86	Trefl Sopot

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Anwil Wloclawek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Astoria Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zielona Gora	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dziki Warszawa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Walbrzych	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gtk Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warszawa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Start Lublin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stal Ostrow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Czarni Slupsk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trefl Sopot	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polski Cukier Torun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trefl Sopot

LWWWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/05	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	73-88	L
19/05	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	78-85	L
16/05	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	81-78	W
14/05	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	92-107	L
06/05	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	79-94	L
02/05	Stal Ostrow Poland PLK	88-86	W
25/04	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	76-72	W
18/04	Polski Cukier Torun Poland PLK	92-72	W
11/04	Start Lublin Poland PLK	103-97	W
06/04	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	93-100	L

Dziki Warszawa

LWLWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/06	Arka Gdynia Poland PLK	92-78	W
09/06	Arka Gdynia Poland PLK	84-89	L
01/06	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	78-91	L
29/05	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	76-78	L
27/05	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	80-98	L
21/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	88-73	W
19/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	85-78	W
16/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	78-81	L
14/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	107-92	W
06/05	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	86-105	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trefl Sopot vs Dziki Warszawa?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Trefl Sopot 57% · Dziki Warszawa 43%).

How many points are expected in Trefl Sopot vs Dziki Warszawa?

The model estimates 175.5 total points (Trefl Sopot 89 · Dziki Warszawa 86.5).