Basketball · Poland PLK · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: Stal Ostrow vs Gornik Walbrzych

Team pages: Stal Ostrow · Gornik Walbrzych

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.8Total

Stal Ostrow85.4

Gornik Walbrzych80.4

1X2

64% 36%

Stal Ostrow Gornik Walbrzych

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Ostrow 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Gornik Walbrzych 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Stal Ostrow 4–1 Gornik Walbrzych (5 last)

Stal Ostrow86-74Gornik Walbrzych
Gornik Walbrzych80-72Stal Ostrow
Gornik Walbrzych104-108Stal Ostrow
Stal Ostrow80-70Gornik Walbrzych
Stal Ostrow95-63Gornik Walbrzych

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stal Ostrow 1507 · Gornik Walbrzych 1495

	Stal Ostrow	Gornik Walbrzych
Our model	64%	36%
Market	63%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 165.8 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -3.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.8Stal Ostrow 85.4 · Gornik Walbrzych 80.4

Match keys

H2H favours Stal Ostrow: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Stal Ostrow	Gornik Walbrzych
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81 / 81.1	86.1 / 89.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83 / 83.6	85.6 / 88
Est. result	85	80

Est. total165.8

Line O/U169.5

Diff.3.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.48

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 168.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	2
12:34 +5’	1.48	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Ostrow 4–0–1 Gornik Walbrzych

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	86-74	Gornik Walbrzych
11/01/26 Poland PLK	Gornik Walbrzych	80-72	Stal Ostrow
27/03/25 Poland PLK	Gornik Walbrzych	104-108	Stal Ostrow
29/11/24 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	80-70	Gornik Walbrzych
22/08/19 Club Friendlies	Stal Ostrow	95-63	Gornik Walbrzych

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dziki Warszawa	1	1	0	102	63	2
2	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	95	70	2
3	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	1	1	0	104	85	2
4	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	1	1	0	89	78	2
5	Astoria Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	105	95	2
6	Stal Ostrow	1	1	0	84	79	2
7	Legia Warszawa	1	1	0	79	76	2
8	Anwil Wloclawek	1	1	0	88	87	2
9	Gornik Walbrzych	1	0	1	87	88	1
10	Czarni Slupsk	1	0	1	76	79	1
11	Start Lublin	1	0	1	79	84	1
12	Zielona Gora	1	0	1	95	105	1
13	Gtk Gliwice	1	0	1	78	89	1
14	Polski Cukier Torun	1	0	1	85	104	1
15	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	70	95	1
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63	102	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Ostrow	Gornik Walbrzych
Start Lublin	84-79 W	81-86 L
MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	86-94 L	73-103 L
Anwil Wloclawek	81-90 L	87-88 L
Czarni Slupsk	75-68 W	90-107 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Stal Ostrow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Ostrow

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Start Lublin Poland PLK	84-79	W
08/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	86-94	L
06/05	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	86-74	W
02/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	86-88	L
25/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	73-83	L
17/04	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	77-73	W
13/04	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	75-82	L
06/04	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	81-90	L
29/03	Miasto Szkla Krosno Poland PLK	87-80	W
19/03	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	75-68	W

Gornik Walbrzych

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/10	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	87-88	L
06/05	Stal Ostrow Poland PLK	74-86	L
30/04	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	90-107	L
24/04	Polski Cukier Torun Poland PLK	96-73	W
18/04	Start Lublin Poland PLK	81-86	L
12/04	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	68-93	L
04/04	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin Poland PLK	97-76	W
26/03	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	73-103	L
22/03	Arka Gdynia Poland PLK	103-97	W
14/03	Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK	92-82	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Ostrow vs Gornik Walbrzych?

Our model gives 64% to Stal Ostrow.

How many points are expected in Stal Ostrow vs Gornik Walbrzych?

The model estimates 165.8 total points (Stal Ostrow 85.4 · Gornik Walbrzych 80.4).