Basketball · Poland PLK · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: Dziki Warszawa vs Start Lublin
Team pages: Dziki Warszawa · Start Lublin
Prediction summary
Estimated points
177.2Total
Dziki Warszawa95.9
Start Lublin81.4
1X2
Dziki Warszawa
Start Lublin
Recent form · 10 last
Dziki Warszawa
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Start Lublin
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dziki Warszawa
4–2
Start Lublin
(6 last)
- Dziki Warszawa119-74Start Lublin
- Dziki Warszawa103-72Start Lublin
- Start Lublin76-101Dziki Warszawa
- Start Lublin73-98Dziki Warszawa
- Start Lublin86-69Dziki Warszawa
- Start Lublin93-82Dziki Warszawa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dziki Warszawa 1605 · Start Lublin 1431
| Dziki Warszawa | Start Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 82% | 18% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
177.2 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +9.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points177.2Dziki Warszawa 95.9 · Start Lublin 81.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dziki Warszawa (rating 1605 vs 1431).
- Dziki Warszawa is a clear favourite (85% market).
- H2H favours Dziki Warszawa: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Dziki Warszawa | Start Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87 / 82.1 | 86.1 / 92.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.4 / 79.8 | 86.2 / 90.6 |
| Est. result | 96 | 81 |
Est. total177.2
Line O/U167.5
Diff.9.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dziki Warszawa 4–0–2 Start Lublin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 Club Friendlies | Dziki Warszawa | 119-74 | Start Lublin |
| 04/04/26 Poland PLK | Dziki Warszawa | 103-72 | Start Lublin |
| 07/12/25 Poland PLK | Start Lublin | 76-101 | Dziki Warszawa |
| 12/09/25 Club Friendlies | Start Lublin | 73-98 | Dziki Warszawa |
| 19/04/25 Poland PLK | Start Lublin | 86-69 | Dziki Warszawa |
| 13/02/25 Poland Cup | Start Lublin | 93-82 | Dziki Warszawa |
Standings · Poland PLK
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dziki Warszawa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 63 | 2 |
| 2 | Arka Gdynia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 70 | 2 |
| 3 | King Wilki Morskie Szczecin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 85 | 2 |
| 4 | MKS Dabrowa Gornicza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 78 | 2 |
| 5 | Astoria Bydgoszcz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 105 | 95 | 2 |
| 6 | Stal Ostrow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 79 | 2 |
| 7 | Legia Warszawa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 76 | 2 |
| 8 | Anwil Wloclawek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 87 | 2 |
| 9 | Gornik Walbrzych | 1 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 88 | 1 |
| 10 | Czarni Slupsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 79 | 1 |
| 11 | Start Lublin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 84 | 1 |
| 12 | Zielona Gora | 1 | 0 | 1 | 95 | 105 | 1 |
| 13 | Gtk Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 89 | 1 |
| 14 | Polski Cukier Torun | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 104 | 1 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 95 | 1 |
| 16 | Trefl Sopot | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 102 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dziki Warszawa | Start Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Trefl Sopot | 102-63 W | 97-103 L |
| Arka Gdynia | 92-78 W | 80-101 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dziki Warszawa (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dziki Warszawa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
102-63 | W |
| 12/06 | Arka Gdynia Poland PLK |
92-78 | W |
| 09/06 | Arka Gdynia Poland PLK |
84-89 | L |
| 01/06 | Legia Warszawa Poland PLK |
78-91 | L |
| 29/05 | Legia Warszawa Poland PLK |
76-78 | L |
| 27/05 | Legia Warszawa Poland PLK |
80-98 | L |
| 21/05 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
88-73 | W |
| 19/05 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
85-78 | W |
| 16/05 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
78-81 | L |
| 14/05 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
107-92 | W |
Start Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Stal Ostrow Poland PLK |
79-84 | L |
| 06/05 | MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK |
100-105 | L |
| 03/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland PLK |
80-101 | L |
| 26/04 | Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK |
86-82 | W |
| 18/04 | Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK |
86-81 | W |
| 11/04 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
97-103 | L |
| 04/04 | Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK |
72-103 | L |
| 29/03 | Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK |
91-98 | L |
| 19/03 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
73-76 | L |
| 14/03 | Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK |
97-91 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dziki Warszawa vs Start Lublin?
Our model gives 85% to Dziki Warszawa.
How many points are expected in Dziki Warszawa vs Start Lublin?
The model estimates 177.2 total points (Dziki Warszawa 95.9 · Start Lublin 81.4).