Basketball · Poland PLK · 02/10, 18:00
Prediction: Czarni Slupsk vs Legia Warszawa
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.9Total
Czarni Slupsk81.1
Legia Warszawa86.9
1X2
Czarni Slupsk
Legia Warszawa
Recent form · 10 last
Czarni Slupsk
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Legia Warszawa
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Czarni Slupsk
4–2
Legia Warszawa
(6 last)
- Czarni Slupsk87-82Legia Warszawa
- Legia Warszawa87-76Czarni Slupsk
- Legia Warszawa56-70Czarni Slupsk
- Czarni Slupsk83-60Legia Warszawa
- Legia Warszawa94-84Czarni Slupsk
- Czarni Slupsk82-80Legia Warszawa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Czarni Slupsk 1442 · Legia Warszawa 1592
| Czarni Slupsk | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.9 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +3.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.9Czarni Slupsk 81.1 · Legia Warszawa 86.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warszawa (rating 1442 vs 1592).
- Legia Warszawa is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Czarni Slupsk: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Czarni Slupsk | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83 / 86.1 | 83.3 / 76.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 90.4 | 77.6 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 87 |
Est. total167.9
Line O/U164.5
Diff.3.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Czarni Slupsk 4–0–2 Legia Warszawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Poland PLK | Czarni Slupsk | 87-82 | Legia Warszawa |
| 19/10/25 Poland PLK | Legia Warszawa | 87-76 | Czarni Slupsk |
| 09/03/25 Poland PLK | Legia Warszawa | 56-70 | Czarni Slupsk |
| 03/11/24 Poland PLK | Czarni Slupsk | 83-60 | Legia Warszawa |
| 19/01/24 Poland PLK | Legia Warszawa | 94-84 | Czarni Slupsk |
| 06/10/23 Poland PLK | Czarni Slupsk | 82-80 | Legia Warszawa |
Standings · Poland PLK
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anwil Wloclawek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Astoria Bydgoszcz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zielona Gora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dziki Warszawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gornik Walbrzych | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gtk Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MKS Dabrowa Gornicza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Start Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stal Ostrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Czarni Slupsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trefl Sopot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polski Cukier Torun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | King Wilki Morskie Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Czarni Slupsk | Legia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Dziki Warszawa | 86-106 L | 91-78 W |
| Zielona Gora | 80-96 L | 78-70 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Legia Warszawa (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Czarni Slupsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05 | Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK |
80-89 | L |
| 30/04 | Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK |
107-90 | W |
| 25/04 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
72-76 | L |
| 18/04 | Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK |
86-106 | L |
| 11/04 | Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK |
86-91 | L |
| 02/04 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
80-96 | L |
| 28/03 | Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK |
57-68 | L |
| 19/03 | Stal Ostrow Poland PLK |
68-75 | L |
| 12/03 | Miasto Szkla Krosno Poland PLK |
91-77 | W |
| 05/03 | Polski Cukier Torun Poland PLK |
103-93 | W |
Legia Warszawa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
78-70 | W |
| 19/06 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
74-76 | L |
| 17/06 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
84-80 | W |
| 15/06 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
73-85 | L |
| 13/06 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
79-63 | W |
| 10/06 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
104-82 | W |
| 08/06 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
74-77 | L |
| 01/06 | Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK |
91-78 | W |
| 29/05 | Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK |
78-76 | W |
| 27/05 | Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK |
98-80 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Czarni Slupsk vs Legia Warszawa?
Our model gives 66% to Legia Warszawa.
How many points are expected in Czarni Slupsk vs Legia Warszawa?
The model estimates 167.9 total points (Czarni Slupsk 81.1 · Legia Warszawa 86.9).