Basketball · Poland PLK · 03/10, 19:30

Prediction: Start Lublin vs Stal Ostrow

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.3Total

Start Lublin84.5

Stal Ostrow83.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

52% 48%

Start Lublin Stal Ostrow

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Start Lublin 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWWLL

Stal Ostrow 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Start Lublin 2–4 Stal Ostrow (6 last)

Stal Ostrow93-78Start Lublin
Start Lublin76-91Stal Ostrow
Stal Ostrow82-89Start Lublin
Start Lublin105-90Stal Ostrow
Stal Ostrow96-93Start Lublin
Start Lublin78-100Stal Ostrow

Model analysis

Estimated points168.3Start Lublin 84.5 · Stal Ostrow 83.8

Match keys

H2H favours Stal Ostrow: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Start Lublin	Stal Ostrow
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86 / 93.3	80.3 / 80.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.8 / 94.4	81.6 / 82.4
Est. result	85	84

Est. total168.3

Line O/U168.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.90

Under 168.51.88

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 170.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95
2	1.84 → 1.84	Pinn 1.84

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
19:48 +20’	1.95	1.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Start Lublin 2–0–4 Stal Ostrow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	93-78	Start Lublin
02/11/25 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	76-91	Stal Ostrow
04/05/25 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	82-89	Start Lublin
12/01/25 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	105-90	Stal Ostrow
18/04/24 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	96-93	Start Lublin
23/12/23 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	78-100	Stal Ostrow

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Anwil Wloclawek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Astoria Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zielona Gora	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dziki Warszawa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Walbrzych	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gtk Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warszawa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Start Lublin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stal Ostrow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Czarni Slupsk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trefl Sopot	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polski Cukier Torun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Start Lublin	Stal Ostrow
MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	100-105 L	86-94 L
Gornik Walbrzych	86-81 W	86-74 W
Trefl Sopot	97-103 L	86-88 L
Dziki Warszawa	72-103 L	73-83 L
Slask Wroclaw	91-98 L	77-73 W
Zielona Gora	73-76 L	75-82 L
Anwil Wloclawek	97-91 W	81-90 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Stal Ostrow (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Start Lublin

LWLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	100-105	L
03/05	Arka Gdynia Poland PLK	80-101	L
26/04	Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK	86-82	W
18/04	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	86-81	W
11/04	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	97-103	L
04/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	72-103	L
29/03	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	91-98	L
19/03	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	73-76	L
14/03	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	97-91	W
08/03	Stal Ostrow Poland PLK	78-93	L

Stal Ostrow

WWWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	86-94	L
06/05	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	86-74	W
02/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	86-88	L
25/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	73-83	L
17/04	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	77-73	W
13/04	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	75-82	L
06/04	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	81-90	L
29/03	Miasto Szkla Krosno Poland PLK	87-80	W
19/03	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	75-68	W
15/03	Polski Cukier Torun Poland PLK	77-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Start Lublin vs Stal Ostrow?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Start Lublin 52% · Stal Ostrow 48%).

How many points are expected in Start Lublin vs Stal Ostrow?

The model estimates 168.3 total points (Start Lublin 84.5 · Stal Ostrow 83.8).