Basketball · BNXT League · 17/10, 20:30

Prediction: Leuven Bears vs Kortrijk Spurs

Team pages: Leuven Bears · Kortrijk Spurs

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.1Total

Leuven Bears82.7

Kortrijk Spurs83.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Leuven Bears Kortrijk Spurs

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Leuven Bears 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWWL

Kortrijk Spurs 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Leuven Bears 2–4 Kortrijk Spurs (6 last)

Leuven Bears86-97Kortrijk Spurs
Kortrijk Spurs71-69Leuven Bears
Kortrijk Spurs87-79Leuven Bears
Leuven Bears92-83Kortrijk Spurs
Kortrijk Spurs86-82Leuven Bears
Kortrijk Spurs67-73Leuven Bears

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leuven Bears 1514 · Kortrijk Spurs 1510

	Leuven Bears	Kortrijk Spurs
Our model	63%	37%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 166.1 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.1Leuven Bears 82.7 · Kortrijk Spurs 83.4

Match keys

H2H favours Kortrijk Spurs: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Leuven Bears	Kortrijk Spurs
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76 / 76.6	90.6 / 85.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.8 / 73.8	91.6 / 86.8
Est. result	83	83

Est. total166.1

Line O/U162.5

Diff.3.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 164.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.71 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
10:34 +18’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:47 +8’	1.99	1.70
21:00 +9’	1.81▼	1.85▲
22:34 +14’	1.97▲	1.71▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leuven Bears 2–0–4 Kortrijk Spurs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 BNXT League	Leuven Bears	86-97	Kortrijk Spurs
26/09/25 BNXT League	Kortrijk Spurs	71-69	Leuven Bears
17/05/25 BNXT Belgium	Kortrijk Spurs	87-79	Leuven Bears
15/05/25 BNXT Belgium	Leuven Bears	92-83	Kortrijk Spurs
13/05/25 BNXT Belgium	Kortrijk Spurs	86-82	Leuven Bears
30/04/25 BNXT League	Kortrijk Spurs	67-73	Leuven Bears

Standings · BNXT League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Antwerp Giants	2	2	0	213	169
2	Brussels Basketball	2	2	0	171	131
3	Okapi Aalst	2	2	0	189	166
4	Spirou Charleroi	3	2	1	253	192
5	Donar Groningen	3	2	1	229	244
6	Oostende	2	1	1	185	165
7	Limburg United	2	1	1	201	182
8	Den Bosch	2	1	1	138	120
9	Leuven Bears	2	1	1	147	146
10	Kangoeroes Basket	2	1	1	188	194
11	ZZ Leiden	2	1	1	137	148
12	Landstede Zwolle	2	1	1	140	157
13	Kortrijk Spurs	2	0	2	182	198
14	Rotterdam City	2	0	2	121	155
15	CB Liege	2	0	2	143	195
16	Mons-Hainaut	2	0	2	123	198

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leuven Bears	Kortrijk Spurs
Donar Groningen	78-81 L	76-85 L
Spirou Charleroi	69-65 W	84-86 L
Landstede Zwolle	69-61 W	83-70 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Leuven Bears (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leuven Bears

WLWLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/10	Donar Groningen BNXT League	78-81	L
03/10	Spirou Charleroi BNXT League	69-65	W
09/05	Basketball Academie Limburg BNXT League	77-65	W
06/05	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	69-61	W
02/05	Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League	86-97	L
23/04	Spirou Charleroi BNXT League	69-73	L
19/04	Den Bosch BNXT League	58-66	L
16/04	Den Bosch BNXT League	88-85	W
10/04	Rotterdam City BNXT League	75-85	L
04/04	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	91-88	W

Kortrijk Spurs

LWWLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	106-113	L
02/10	Donar Groningen BNXT League	76-85	L
09/05	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	83-70	W
06/05	Oostende BNXT League	96-80	W
02/05	Leuven Bears BNXT League	97-86	W
24/04	Den Helder BNXT League	85-80	W
19/04	Spirou Charleroi BNXT League	84-86	L
17/04	Spirou Charleroi BNXT League	75-68	W
11/04	ZZ Leiden BNXT League	93-69	W
03/04	Limburg United BNXT League	111-114	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leuven Bears vs Kortrijk Spurs?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Leuven Bears 48% · Kortrijk Spurs 52%).

How many points are expected in Leuven Bears vs Kortrijk Spurs?

The model estimates 166.1 total points (Leuven Bears 82.7 · Kortrijk Spurs 83.4).