Basketball · BNXT League · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: Spirou Charleroi vs Oostende

Team pages: Spirou Charleroi · Oostende

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160.8Total

Spirou Charleroi79.9

Oostende80.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Spirou Charleroi Oostende

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Spirou Charleroi 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLLWW

Oostende 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Spirou Charleroi 2–4 Oostende (6 last)

Oostende75-86Spirou Charleroi
Spirou Charleroi64-73Oostende
Spirou Charleroi77-80Oostende
Oostende80-83Spirou Charleroi
Spirou Charleroi68-89Oostende
Oostende83-71Spirou Charleroi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spirou Charleroi 1530 · Oostende 1547

	Spirou Charleroi	Oostende
Our model	60%	40%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 160.8 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +3.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points160.8Spirou Charleroi 79.9 · Oostende 80.9

Match keys

H2H favours Oostende: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Spirou Charleroi	Oostende
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.5 / 77.1	84.9 / 77
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.2 / 73.2	82.6 / 79
Est. result	80	81

Est. total160.8

Line O/U157.5

Diff.3.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 157.51.83

Under 157.51.83

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 159.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.16 ★
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	2
17:40 +7’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
11:19 +28’	2.48	1.44
22:00 +48’	2.16▼	1.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spirou Charleroi 2–0–4 Oostende

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 BNXT League	Oostende	75-86	Spirou Charleroi
17/10/25 BNXT League	Spirou Charleroi	64-73	Oostende
25/01/25 BNXT League	Spirou Charleroi	77-80	Oostende
05/01/25 Belgium Cup	Oostende	80-83	Spirou Charleroi
03/01/25 Belgium Cup	Spirou Charleroi	68-89	Oostende
14/09/24 BNXT League	Oostende	83-71	Spirou Charleroi

Standings · BNXT League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Antwerp Giants	3	3	0	338	255
2	Brussels Basketball	3	3	0	252	195
3	Spirou Charleroi	3	2	1	253	192
4	Limburg United	3	2	1	288	262
5	Kangoeroes Basket	3	2	1	284	272
6	Okapi Aalst	3	2	1	266	258
7	Leuven Bears	3	2	1	219	215
7	ZZ Leiden	3	2	1	229	225
9	Landstede Zwolle	3	2	1	214	214
10	Donar Groningen	3	2	1	229	244
11	Oostende	3	1	2	249	246
12	Den Bosch	3	1	2	224	245
13	Kortrijk Spurs	3	0	3	251	270
14	Rotterdam City	3	0	3	201	242
15	CB Liege	3	0	3	221	291
16	Mons-Hainaut	3	0	3	180	272

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spirou Charleroi	Oostende
Donar Groningen	90-63 W	82-84 L
Mons-Hainaut	98-60 W	81-60 W
Landstede Zwolle	77-78 L	98-70 W
Kortrijk Spurs	86-84 W	80-96 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Spirou Charleroi (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spirou Charleroi

LWWLLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Donar Groningen BNXT League	90-63	W
09/10	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	98-60	W
03/10	Leuven Bears BNXT League	65-69	L
09/05	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	82-95	L
06/05	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	101-79	W
03/05	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	77-78	L
28/04	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	65-99	L
23/04	Leuven Bears BNXT League	73-69	W
19/04	Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League	86-84	W
17/04	Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League	68-75	L

Oostende

WWWWLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Brussels Basketball BNXT League	64-81	L
10/10	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	98-70	W
03/10	Okapi Aalst BNXT League	87-95	L
09/05	Brussels Basketball BNXT League	84-53	W
06/05	Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League	80-96	L
03/05	Donar Groningen BNXT League	82-84	L
25/04	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	81-60	W
19/04	Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League	83-73	W
17/04	Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League	94-66	W
11/04	Basketball Academie Limburg BNXT League	96-92	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spirou Charleroi vs Oostende?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Spirou Charleroi 47% · Oostende 53%).

How many points are expected in Spirou Charleroi vs Oostende?

The model estimates 160.8 total points (Spirou Charleroi 79.9 · Oostende 80.9).