Basketball · BNXT League · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: Okapi Aalst vs Donar Groningen

Team pages: Okapi Aalst · Donar Groningen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.3Total

Okapi Aalst93.3

Donar Groningen83

1X2

77% 23%

Okapi Aalst Donar Groningen

Recent form · 10 last

Okapi Aalst 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Donar Groningen 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Okapi Aalst 2–2 Donar Groningen (4 last)

Okapi Aalst111-82Donar Groningen
Donar Groningen85-78Okapi Aalst
Donar Groningen91-84Okapi Aalst
Okapi Aalst93-91Donar Groningen

Model analysis

Estimated points176.3Okapi Aalst 93.3 · Donar Groningen 83

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okapi Aalst (rating 1574 vs 1453).
Okapi Aalst is a clear favourite (77% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Okapi Aalst	Donar Groningen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	97.7 / 88.2	80.6 / 78.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.8 / 89.4	78 / 80.4
Est. result	93	83

Est. total176.3

Line O/U175

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1751.81

Under 1751.85

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 172.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.14
2	4.11 → 4.11	Pinn 4.11

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.2%

Time*	1	2
16:15 +41’	1.14	4.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Okapi Aalst 2–0–2 Donar Groningen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 BNXT League	Okapi Aalst	111-82	Donar Groningen
18/10/25 BNXT League	Donar Groningen	85-78	Okapi Aalst
16/02/25 BNXT League	Donar Groningen	91-84	Okapi Aalst
05/10/24 BNXT League	Okapi Aalst	93-91	Donar Groningen

Standings · BNXT League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Antwerp Giants	3	3	0	338	255
2	Brussels Basketball	3	3	0	252	195
3	Spirou Charleroi	3	2	1	253	192
4	Limburg United	3	2	1	288	262
5	Kangoeroes Basket	3	2	1	284	272
6	Okapi Aalst	3	2	1	266	258
7	Leuven Bears	3	2	1	219	215
7	ZZ Leiden	3	2	1	229	225
9	Landstede Zwolle	3	2	1	214	214
10	Donar Groningen	3	2	1	229	244
11	Oostende	3	1	2	249	246
12	Den Bosch	3	1	2	224	245
13	Kortrijk Spurs	3	0	3	251	270
14	Rotterdam City	3	0	3	201	242
15	CB Liege	3	0	3	221	291
16	Mons-Hainaut	3	0	3	180	272

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Okapi Aalst	Donar Groningen
Kangoeroes Basket	94-79 W	99-63 W
Oostende	95-87 W	84-82 W
LWD Basket	118-90 W	88-89 L
Limburg United	85-99 L	71-82 L
Rotterdam City	102-92 W	90-76 W
Den Bosch	107-103 W	67-81 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Okapi Aalst

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	ZZ Leiden BNXT League	77-92	L
10/10	Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League	94-79	W
03/10	Oostende BNXT League	95-87	W
09/05	LWD Basket BNXT League	118-90	W
06/05	Limburg United BNXT League	85-99	L
02/05	Rotterdam City BNXT League	102-92	W
25/04	ZZ Leiden BNXT League	97-85	W
19/04	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	98-78	W
17/04	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	104-77	W
11/04	Den Bosch BNXT League	107-103	W

Donar Groningen

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Spirou Charleroi BNXT League	63-90	L
06/10	Leuven Bears BNXT League	81-78	W
02/10	Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League	85-76	W
09/05	Limburg United BNXT League	71-82	L
06/05	Rotterdam City BNXT League	90-76	W
03/05	Oostende BNXT League	84-82	W
28/04	Den Bosch BNXT League	67-81	L
25/04	Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League	99-63	W
22/04	LWD Basket BNXT League	88-89	L
19/04	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	78-67	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Okapi Aalst vs Donar Groningen?

Our model gives 77% to Okapi Aalst.

How many points are expected in Okapi Aalst vs Donar Groningen?

The model estimates 176.3 total points (Okapi Aalst 93.3 · Donar Groningen 83).