Basketball · BNXT League · 31/10, 20:00
Prediction: ZZ Leiden vs Donar Groningen
Team pages: ZZ Leiden · Donar Groningen
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.8Total
ZZ Leiden85.8
Donar Groningen80
1X2
ZZ Leiden
Donar Groningen
Recent form · 10 last
ZZ Leiden
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Donar Groningen
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ZZ Leiden
3–3
Donar Groningen
(6 last)
- Donar Groningen77-79ZZ Leiden
- ZZ Leiden91-71Donar Groningen
- Donar Groningen97-89ZZ Leiden
- ZZ Leiden90-78Donar Groningen
- Donar Groningen91-68ZZ Leiden
- Donar Groningen75-65ZZ Leiden
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ZZ Leiden 1517 · Donar Groningen 1470
| ZZ Leiden | Donar Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.8 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +5.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.8ZZ Leiden 85.8 · Donar Groningen 80
Match keys
- ZZ Leiden is a clear favourite (66% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| ZZ Leiden | Donar Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.1 / 83.3 | 81.8 / 83.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.6 / 78.8 | 78 / 88 |
| Est. result | 86 | 80 |
Est. total165.8
Line O/U160.5
Diff.5.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · ZZ Leiden 3–0–3 Donar Groningen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 BNXT Netherlands | Donar Groningen | 77-79 | ZZ Leiden |
| 29/05/26 BNXT Netherlands | ZZ Leiden | 91-71 | Donar Groningen |
| 26/05/26 BNXT Netherlands | Donar Groningen | 97-89 | ZZ Leiden |
| 24/05/26 BNXT Netherlands | ZZ Leiden | 90-78 | Donar Groningen |
| 22/05/26 BNXT Netherlands | Donar Groningen | 91-68 | ZZ Leiden |
| 04/04/26 BNXT League | Donar Groningen | 75-65 | ZZ Leiden |
Standings · BNXT League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antwerp Giants | 4 | 4 | 0 | 447 | 330 | 0 |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 4 | 4 | 0 | 341 | 260 | 0 |
| 3 | Okapi Aalst | 4 | 3 | 1 | 380 | 348 | 0 |
| 4 | Limburg United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 376 | 345 | 0 |
| 5 | Leuven Bears | 4 | 3 | 1 | 286 | 279 | 0 |
| 6 | Spirou Charleroi | 4 | 2 | 2 | 318 | 262 | 0 |
| 7 | Oostende | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 311 | 0 |
| 8 | ZZ Leiden | 4 | 2 | 2 | 293 | 292 | 0 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 4 | 2 | 2 | 304 | 316 | 0 |
| 10 | Kangoeroes Basket | 4 | 2 | 2 | 359 | 381 | 0 |
| 11 | Landstede Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 303 | 0 |
| 12 | Donar Groningen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 358 | 0 |
| 13 | Rotterdam City | 4 | 1 | 3 | 290 | 319 | 0 |
| 14 | Kortrijk Spurs | 4 | 0 | 4 | 334 | 358 | 0 |
| 15 | CB Liege | 4 | 0 | 4 | 292 | 371 | 0 |
| 16 | Mons-Hainaut | 4 | 0 | 4 | 257 | 361 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ZZ Leiden | Donar Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Leuven Bears | 64-67 L | 81-78 W |
| Okapi Aalst | 92-77 W | 90-114 L |
| Rotterdam City | 76-71 W | 90-76 W |
| LWD Basket | 100-74 W | 88-89 L |
| Den Bosch | 93-75 W | 67-81 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: ZZ Leiden (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ZZ Leiden
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Leuven Bears BNXT League |
64-67 | L |
| 17/10 | Okapi Aalst BNXT League |
92-77 | W |
| 10/10 | Brussels Basketball BNXT League |
61-77 | L |
| 02/10 | Rotterdam City BNXT League |
76-71 | W |
| 09/05 | Den Helder BNXT League |
110-102 | W |
| 06/05 | LWD Basket BNXT League |
100-74 | W |
| 01/05 | Den Bosch BNXT League |
93-75 | W |
| 25/04 | Okapi Aalst BNXT League |
85-97 | L |
| 20/04 | Antwerp Giants BNXT League |
78-97 | L |
| 17/04 | Antwerp Giants BNXT League |
92-96 | L |
Donar Groningen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Okapi Aalst BNXT League |
90-114 | L |
| 14/10 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
63-90 | L |
| 06/10 | Leuven Bears BNXT League |
81-78 | W |
| 02/10 | Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League |
85-76 | W |
| 09/05 | Limburg United BNXT League |
71-82 | L |
| 06/05 | Rotterdam City BNXT League |
90-76 | W |
| 03/05 | Oostende BNXT League |
84-82 | W |
| 28/04 | Den Bosch BNXT League |
67-81 | L |
| 25/04 | Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League |
99-63 | W |
| 22/04 | LWD Basket BNXT League |
88-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ZZ Leiden vs Donar Groningen?
Our model gives 66% to ZZ Leiden.
How many points are expected in ZZ Leiden vs Donar Groningen?
The model estimates 165.8 total points (ZZ Leiden 85.8 · Donar Groningen 80).