Basketball · BNXT League · 30/10, 20:30

Prediction: Brussels Basketball vs Spirou Charleroi

Team pages: Brussels Basketball · Spirou Charleroi

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.1Total

Brussels Basketball79.6

Spirou Charleroi74.6

1X2

64% 36%

Brussels Basketball Spirou Charleroi

Recent form · 10 last

Brussels Basketball 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Spirou Charleroi 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brussels Basketball 5–1 Spirou Charleroi (6 last)

Spirou Charleroi74-82Brussels Basketball
Brussels Basketball88-69Spirou Charleroi
Brussels Basketball82-73Spirou Charleroi
Spirou Charleroi79-83Brussels Basketball
Brussels Basketball59-71Spirou Charleroi
Brussels Basketball61-55Spirou Charleroi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brussels Basketball 1561 · Spirou Charleroi 1496

	Brussels Basketball	Spirou Charleroi
Our model	71%	29%
Market	63%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 154.1 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points154.1Brussels Basketball 79.6 · Spirou Charleroi 74.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brussels Basketball (rating 1561 vs 1496).
H2H favours Brussels Basketball: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brussels Basketball	Spirou Charleroi
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.1 / 68.3	80.2 / 76.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.8 / 68.8	80 / 71.4
Est. result	80	75

Est. total154.1

Line O/U154.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 154.51.83

Under 154.51.83

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 153.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.51 ★
2	2.65 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 9.6%

Time*	1	2
12:42 +6’	1.43	2.65
13:39 +8’	1.50▲	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:52 +15’	1.35	2.75
22:39 +9’	1.46▲	2.42▼
23:42 +6’	1.52▲	2.28▼
01:07 +46’	1.59▲	2.16▼
03:21 +27’	1.63▲	2.09▼
04:22 +24’	1.67▲	2.03▼
05:40 +6’	1.60▼	2.13▲
07:09 +37’	1.68▲	2.02▼
08:25 +21’	1.65▼	2.07▲
09:39 +7’	1.68▲	2.02▼
10:24 +23’	1.51▼	2.31▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brussels Basketball 5–0–1 Spirou Charleroi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 BNXT League	Spirou Charleroi	74-82	Brussels Basketball
14/11/25 BNXT League	Brussels Basketball	88-69	Spirou Charleroi
07/09/25 Club Friendlies	Brussels Basketball	82-73	Spirou Charleroi
02/04/25 BNXT League	Spirou Charleroi	79-83	Brussels Basketball
26/12/24 BNXT League	Brussels Basketball	59-71	Spirou Charleroi
01/09/24 Club Friendlies	Brussels Basketball	61-55	Spirou Charleroi

Standings · BNXT League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Antwerp Giants	4	4	0	447	330
2	Brussels Basketball	4	4	0	341	260
3	Okapi Aalst	4	3	1	380	348
4	Limburg United	4	3	1	376	345
5	Leuven Bears	4	3	1	286	279
6	Spirou Charleroi	4	2	2	318	262
7	Oostende	4	2	2	319	311
8	ZZ Leiden	4	2	2	293	292
9	Den Bosch	4	2	2	304	316
10	Kangoeroes Basket	4	2	2	359	381
11	Landstede Zwolle	4	2	2	279	303
12	Donar Groningen	4	2	2	319	358
13	Rotterdam City	4	1	3	290	319
14	Kortrijk Spurs	4	0	4	334	358
15	CB Liege	4	0	4	292	371
16	Mons-Hainaut	4	0	4	257	361

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brussels Basketball	Spirou Charleroi
Landstede Zwolle	89-65 W	77-78 L
Oostende	81-64 W	65-70 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brussels Basketball (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brussels Basketball

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	89-65	W
16/10	Oostende BNXT League	81-64	W
10/10	ZZ Leiden BNXT League	77-61	W
06/10	CB Liege BNXT League	94-70	W
09/05	Oostende BNXT League	53-84	L
06/05	Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League	56-57	L
03/05	LWD Basket BNXT League	93-76	W
26/04	Rotterdam City BNXT League	83-66	W
19/04	Basketball Academie Limburg BNXT League	82-89	L
17/04	Basketball Academie Limburg BNXT League	103-51	W

Spirou Charleroi

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Oostende BNXT League	65-70	L
14/10	Donar Groningen BNXT League	90-63	W
09/10	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	98-60	W
03/10	Leuven Bears BNXT League	65-69	L
09/05	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	82-95	L
06/05	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	101-79	W
03/05	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	77-78	L
28/04	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	65-99	L
23/04	Leuven Bears BNXT League	73-69	W
19/04	Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League	86-84	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brussels Basketball vs Spirou Charleroi?

Our model gives 64% to Brussels Basketball.

How many points are expected in Brussels Basketball vs Spirou Charleroi?

The model estimates 154.1 total points (Brussels Basketball 79.6 · Spirou Charleroi 74.6).