Basketball · BNXT League · 31/10, 20:30
Prediction: Oostende vs Leuven Bears
Team pages: Oostende · Leuven Bears
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.1Total
Oostende82.5
Leuven Bears68.6
1X2
Oostende
Leuven Bears
Recent form · 10 last
Oostende
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Leuven Bears
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oostende
5–1
Leuven Bears
(6 last)
- Oostende70-71Leuven Bears
- Leuven Bears76-80Oostende
- Oostende73-54Leuven Bears
- Oostende67-58Leuven Bears
- Leuven Bears77-91Oostende
- Leuven Bears69-80Oostende
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oostende 1580 · Leuven Bears 1523
| Oostende | Leuven Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.1 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · -1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.1Oostende 82.5 · Leuven Bears 68.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oostende (rating 1580 vs 1523).
- Oostende is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Oostende: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Oostende | Leuven Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.3 / 74.3 | 73.3 / 72.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.6 / 72.8 | 72.6 / 68.8 |
| Est. result | 83 | 69 |
Est. total151.1
Line O/U152.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oostende 5–0–1 Leuven Bears
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/26 BNXT League | Oostende | 70-71 | Leuven Bears |
| 13/12/25 BNXT League | Leuven Bears | 76-80 | Oostende |
| 01/04/25 BNXT League | Oostende | 73-54 | Leuven Bears |
| 09/03/25 Belgium Cup | Oostende | 67-58 | Leuven Bears |
| 09/11/24 BNXT League | Leuven Bears | 77-91 | Oostende |
| 10/05/24 BNXT Belgium | Leuven Bears | 69-80 | Oostende |
Standings · BNXT League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antwerp Giants | 4 | 4 | 0 | 447 | 330 | 0 |
| 2 | Brussels Basketball | 4 | 4 | 0 | 341 | 260 | 0 |
| 3 | Okapi Aalst | 4 | 3 | 1 | 380 | 348 | 0 |
| 4 | Limburg United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 376 | 345 | 0 |
| 5 | Leuven Bears | 4 | 3 | 1 | 286 | 279 | 0 |
| 6 | Spirou Charleroi | 4 | 2 | 2 | 318 | 262 | 0 |
| 7 | Oostende | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 311 | 0 |
| 8 | ZZ Leiden | 4 | 2 | 2 | 293 | 292 | 0 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 4 | 2 | 2 | 304 | 316 | 0 |
| 10 | Kangoeroes Basket | 4 | 2 | 2 | 359 | 381 | 0 |
| 11 | Landstede Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 303 | 0 |
| 12 | Donar Groningen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 358 | 0 |
| 13 | Rotterdam City | 4 | 1 | 3 | 290 | 319 | 0 |
| 14 | Kortrijk Spurs | 4 | 0 | 4 | 334 | 358 | 0 |
| 15 | CB Liege | 4 | 0 | 4 | 292 | 371 | 0 |
| 16 | Mons-Hainaut | 4 | 0 | 4 | 257 | 361 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oostende | Leuven Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spirou Charleroi | 70-65 W | 69-65 W |
| Landstede Zwolle | 98-70 W | 69-61 W |
| Kortrijk Spurs | 80-96 L | 72-69 W |
| Donar Groningen | 82-84 L | 78-81 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Oostende (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oostende
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
70-65 | W |
| 16/10 | Brussels Basketball BNXT League |
64-81 | L |
| 10/10 | Landstede Zwolle BNXT League |
98-70 | W |
| 03/10 | Okapi Aalst BNXT League |
87-95 | L |
| 09/05 | Brussels Basketball BNXT League |
84-53 | W |
| 06/05 | Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League |
80-96 | L |
| 03/05 | Donar Groningen BNXT League |
82-84 | L |
| 25/04 | Mons-Hainaut BNXT League |
81-60 | W |
| 19/04 | Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League |
83-73 | W |
| 17/04 | Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League |
94-66 | W |
Leuven Bears
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | ZZ Leiden BNXT League |
67-64 | W |
| 17/10 | Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League |
72-69 | W |
| 06/10 | Donar Groningen BNXT League |
78-81 | L |
| 03/10 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
69-65 | W |
| 09/05 | Basketball Academie Limburg BNXT League |
77-65 | W |
| 06/05 | Landstede Zwolle BNXT League |
69-61 | W |
| 02/05 | Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League |
86-97 | L |
| 23/04 | Spirou Charleroi BNXT League |
69-73 | L |
| 19/04 | Den Bosch BNXT League |
58-66 | L |
| 16/04 | Den Bosch BNXT League |
88-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oostende vs Leuven Bears?
Our model gives 84% to Oostende.
How many points are expected in Oostende vs Leuven Bears?
The model estimates 151.1 total points (Oostende 82.5 · Leuven Bears 68.6).