Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 02/10, 03:15

Prediction: El Calor de Cancun vs Gambusinos de Fresnillo

Team pages: El Calor de Cancun · Gambusinos de Fresnillo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.9Total

El Calor de Cancun87.6

Gambusinos de Fresnillo86.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

El Calor de Cancun Gambusinos de Fresnillo

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

El Calor de Cancun 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLLL

Gambusinos de Fresnillo 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

El Calor de Cancun 4–2 Gambusinos de Fresnillo (6 last)

Gambusinos de Fresnillo88-93El Calor de Cancun
Gambusinos de Fresnillo81-68El Calor de Cancun
Gambusinos de Fresnillo90-93El Calor de Cancun
Gambusinos de Fresnillo79-82El Calor de Cancun
El Calor de Cancun82-90Gambusinos de Fresnillo
El Calor de Cancun65-62Gambusinos de Fresnillo

Model analysis

Estimated points173.9El Calor de Cancun 87.6 · Gambusinos de Fresnillo 86.2

Match keys

H2H favours El Calor de Cancun: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	El Calor de Cancun	Gambusinos de Fresnillo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.3 / 88.9	86.6 / 85.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.6 / 86.6	92.8 / 91.6
Est. result	88	86

Est. total173.9

Line O/U169

Diff.4.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1691.84

Under 1691.83

Diff.: 4.2 · Est. total: 173.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.86 → 1.86	Pinn 1.86
2	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
03:29 +19’	1.86	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · El Calor de Cancun 4–0–2 Gambusinos de Fresnillo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	88-93	El Calor de Cancun
20/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	81-68	El Calor de Cancun
21/10/24 Mexico LNBP	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	90-93	El Calor de Cancun
20/10/24 Mexico LNBP	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	79-82	El Calor de Cancun
28/09/24 Mexico LNBP	El Calor de Cancun	82-90	Gambusinos de Fresnillo
27/09/24 Mexico LNBP	El Calor de Cancun	65-62	Gambusinos de Fresnillo

Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soles Mexicali	24	19	5	2049	1776	43
2	Astros de Jalisco	24	17	7	2116	1922	41
3	Mineros de Zacatecas	24	13	11	2069	2044	37
4	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	24	11	13	1935	1989	35
5	Diablos Rojos	24	10	14	1990	2030	34
6	El Calor de Cancun	24	6	18	1966	2088	30

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

El Calor de Cancun

LLWLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	89-95	L
26/09	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	74-82	L
22/09	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	83-86	L
21/09	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	86-73	W
17/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	86-97	L
16/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	89-91	L
12/09	Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP	82-86	L
11/09	Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP	103-88	W
31/08	Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP	86-89	L
30/08	Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP	75-102	L

Gambusinos de Fresnillo

LLWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	102-83	W
26/09	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	103-90	W
22/09	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	85-87	L
21/09	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	96-89	W
17/09	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	78-109	L
16/09	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	89-77	W
12/09	Abejas Mexico LNBP	86-74	W
11/09	Abejas Mexico LNBP	87-83	W
31/08	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	75-85	L
30/08	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	65-79	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in El Calor de Cancun vs Gambusinos de Fresnillo?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (El Calor de Cancun 54% · Gambusinos de Fresnillo 46%).

How many points are expected in El Calor de Cancun vs Gambusinos de Fresnillo?

The model estimates 173.9 total points (El Calor de Cancun 87.6 · Gambusinos de Fresnillo 86.2).