Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 12/10, 00:00
Prediction: Dorados de Chihuahua vs Gambusinos de Fresnillo
Team pages: Dorados de Chihuahua · Gambusinos de Fresnillo
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.2Total
Dorados de Chihuahua90.7
Gambusinos de Fresnillo82.5
1X2
Dorados de Chihuahua
Gambusinos de Fresnillo
Recent form · 10 last
Dorados de Chihuahua
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Gambusinos de Fresnillo
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dorados de Chihuahua
5–1
Gambusinos de Fresnillo
(6 last)
- Dorados de Chihuahua91-77Gambusinos de Fresnillo
- Dorados de Chihuahua89-81Gambusinos de Fresnillo
- Dorados de Chihuahua94-91Gambusinos de Fresnillo
- Dorados de Chihuahua131-75Gambusinos de Fresnillo
- Gambusinos de Fresnillo64-83Dorados de Chihuahua
- Gambusinos de Fresnillo88-80Dorados de Chihuahua
Model analysis
Estimated points173.2Dorados de Chihuahua 90.7 · Gambusinos de Fresnillo 82.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dorados de Chihuahua (rating 1541 vs 1465).
- Dorados de Chihuahua is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Dorados de Chihuahua: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Dorados de Chihuahua | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.2 / 86.8 | 85.1 / 87.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.8 / 86.2 | 80 / 84.2 |
| Est. result | 91 | 83 |
Est. total173.2
Line O/U167
Diff.6.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorados de Chihuahua 5–0–1 Gambusinos de Fresnillo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 Mexico LNBP | Dorados de Chihuahua | 91-77 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo |
| 11/08/26 Mexico LNBP | Dorados de Chihuahua | 89-81 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo |
| 04/10/25 Mexico LNBP | Dorados de Chihuahua | 94-91 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo |
| 03/10/25 Mexico LNBP | Dorados de Chihuahua | 131-75 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo |
| 13/07/25 Mexico LNBP | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 64-83 | Dorados de Chihuahua |
| 12/07/25 Mexico LNBP | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 88-80 | Dorados de Chihuahua |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles Mexicali | 28 | 21 | 7 | 2382 | 2090 | 49 |
| 2 | Astros de Jalisco | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2473 | 2246 | 48 |
| 3 | Lobos Puebla | 28 | 18 | 10 | 2366 | 2251 | 46 |
| 4 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2411 | 2371 | 43 |
| 5 | Diablos Rojos | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2294 | 2370 | 39 |
| 6 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2233 | 2327 | 39 |
| 7 | El Calor de Cancun | 28 | 9 | 19 | 2276 | 2384 | 37 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dorados de Chihuahua | Gambusinos de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Astros de Jalisco | 79-77 W | 71-86 L |
| El Calor de Cancun | 97-86 W | 67-74 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dorados de Chihuahua (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dorados de Chihuahua
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
105-77 | W |
| 07/10 | Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP |
105-85 | W |
| 03/10 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
85-81 | W |
| 02/10 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
85-91 | L |
| 27/09 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
64-97 | L |
| 26/09 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
81-98 | L |
| 21/09 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
79-77 | W |
| 20/09 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
80-87 | L |
| 17/09 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
97-86 | W |
| 16/09 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
91-89 | W |
Gambusinos de Fresnillo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
71-86 | L |
| 07/10 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
89-96 | L |
| 03/10 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
67-74 | L |
| 02/10 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
71-82 | L |
| 27/09 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
102-83 | W |
| 26/09 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
103-90 | W |
| 22/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
85-87 | L |
| 21/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
96-89 | W |
| 17/09 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
78-109 | L |
| 16/09 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
89-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dorados de Chihuahua vs Gambusinos de Fresnillo?
Our model gives 72% to Dorados de Chihuahua.
How many points are expected in Dorados de Chihuahua vs Gambusinos de Fresnillo?
The model estimates 173.2 total points (Dorados de Chihuahua 90.7 · Gambusinos de Fresnillo 82.5).