Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 12/10, 02:00
Prediction: Mineros de Zacatecas vs Diablos Rojos
Team pages: Mineros de Zacatecas · Diablos Rojos
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.8Total
Mineros de Zacatecas88
Diablos Rojos81.8
1X2
Mineros de Zacatecas
Diablos Rojos
Recent form · 10 last
Mineros de Zacatecas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Diablos Rojos
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mineros de Zacatecas
2–4
Diablos Rojos
(6 last)
- Mineros de Zacatecas98-85Diablos Rojos
- Mineros de Zacatecas75-81Diablos Rojos
- Mineros de Zacatecas85-92Diablos Rojos
- Mineros de Zacatecas82-64Diablos Rojos
- Diablos Rojos107-97Mineros de Zacatecas
- Diablos Rojos108-82Mineros de Zacatecas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mineros de Zacatecas 1481 · Diablos Rojos 1482
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Diablos Rojos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
169.8 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169.8Mineros de Zacatecas 88 · Diablos Rojos 81.8
Match keys
- Mineros de Zacatecas is a clear favourite (67% market).
- H2H favours Diablos Rojos: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Diablos Rojos | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.5 / 86.7 | 81 / 86.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.2 / 81.6 | 74.2 / 85.2 |
| Est. result | 88 | 82 |
Est. total169.8
Line O/U169.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mineros de Zacatecas 2–0–4 Diablos Rojos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/26 Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas | 98-85 | Diablos Rojos |
| 10/09/26 Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas | 75-81 | Diablos Rojos |
| 16/08/25 Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas | 85-92 | Diablos Rojos |
| 15/08/25 Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas | 82-64 | Diablos Rojos |
| 30/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Diablos Rojos | 107-97 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
| 29/09/24 Mexico LNBP | Diablos Rojos | 108-82 | Mineros de Zacatecas |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles Mexicali | 28 | 21 | 7 | 2382 | 2090 | 49 |
| 2 | Astros de Jalisco | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2473 | 2246 | 48 |
| 3 | Lobos Puebla | 28 | 18 | 10 | 2366 | 2251 | 46 |
| 4 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2411 | 2371 | 43 |
| 5 | Diablos Rojos | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2294 | 2370 | 39 |
| 6 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2233 | 2327 | 39 |
| 7 | El Calor de Cancun | 28 | 9 | 19 | 2276 | 2384 | 37 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mineros de Zacatecas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
82-93 | L |
| 07/10 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
96-75 | W |
| 03/10 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
74-81 | L |
| 02/10 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
90-78 | W |
| 28/09 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
84-81 | W |
| 27/09 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
68-91 | L |
| 22/09 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
87-85 | W |
| 21/09 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
89-96 | L |
| 17/09 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
84-87 | L |
| 16/09 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
101-100 | W |
Diablos Rojos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
92-93 | L |
| 07/10 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
76-77 | L |
| 03/10 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
43-86 | L |
| 02/10 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
93-84 | W |
| 28/09 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
67-86 | L |
| 27/09 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
77-101 | L |
| 22/09 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
86-83 | W |
| 21/09 | El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP |
73-86 | L |
| 16/09 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
96-91 | W |
| 15/09 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
107-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Diablos Rojos?
Our model gives 67% to Mineros de Zacatecas.
How many points are expected in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Diablos Rojos?
The model estimates 169.8 total points (Mineros de Zacatecas 88 · Diablos Rojos 81.8).