Prediction: Norths Bears vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Estimated 160.5 total points (Norths Bears 82.8 · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 77.8).
On recent form, Norths Bears is 8-0-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 6-0-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Norths Bears and 3 for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Norths Bears (rating 1569 vs 1507).
- Norths Bears is a clear favourite (71% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Norths Bears | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.7 / 80.1 | 76.9 / 76.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88 / 77.2 | 79 / 82.6 |
| Est. result | 83 | 78 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Norths Bears 3–0–3 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/25 Australia NBL1 East | Norths Bears | 81-73 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
| 29/06/25 Australia NBL1 East | Norths Bears | 90-78 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
| 05/04/25 Australia NBL1 East | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 80-61 | Norths Bears |
| 12/07/24 Australia NBL1 East | Norths Bears | 85-87 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
| 25/05/24 Australia NBL1 East | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 83-82 | Norths Bears |
| 14/04/23 Australia NBL1 East | Norths Bears | 78-55 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1663 | 1434 | 0 |
| 2 | Norths Bears | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1492 | 1310 | 0 |
| 3 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1506 | 1349 | 0 |
| 4 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1507 | 1380 | 0 |
| 6 | Maitland Mustangs | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1480 | 1359 | 0 |
| 7 | Canberra Gunners | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1500 | 1451 | 0 |
| 8 | Central Coast Crusaders | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1537 | 1583 | 0 |
| 9 | Inner West Bulls | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1443 | 1520 | 0 |
| 10 | Sydney Comets | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1292 | 1305 | 0 |
| 11 | Bankstown Bruins | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1512 | 1586 | 0 |
| 12 | Hills Hornets | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1336 | 1431 | 0 |
| 13 | Newcastle Falcons | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1308 | 1373 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1413 | 1517 | 0 |
| 15 | Penrith Panthers | 17 | 2 | 15 | 1250 | 1485 | 0 |
| 16 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1465 | 1791 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Norths Bears | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Bankstown Bruins | 88-89 L | 92-84 W |
| Sydney Comets | 87-62 W | 68-61 W |
| Maitland Mustangs | 99-86 W | 61-85 L |
| BA Coe | 61-87 L | 87-72 W |
| Newcastle Falcons | 95-80 W | 71-92 L |
| Hills Hornets | 92-62 W | 74-60 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Norths Bears (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Norths Bears
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
81-70 | W |
| 27/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
88-89 | L |
| 20/06 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
87-62 | W |
| 13/06 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
85-79 | W |
| 30/05 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
99-86 | W |
| 23/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
61-87 | L |
| 16/05 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
107-90 | W |
| 10/05 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
102-96 | W |
| 09/05 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
95-80 | W |
| 02/05 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
92-62 | W |
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
63-88 | L |
| 28/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
92-84 | W |
| 27/06 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
71-92 | L |
| 20/06 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
82-77 | W |
| 14/06 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
87-72 | W |
| 13/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
111-70 | W |
| 30/05 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
74-60 | W |
| 24/05 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
61-85 | L |
| 16/05 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
68-61 | W |
| 10/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
60-73 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Norths Bears vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles?
Our model gives 71% to Norths Bears.
How many points are expected in Norths Bears vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles?
The model estimates 160.5 total points (Norths Bears 82.8 · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 77.8).