Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 18/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maitland Mustangs vs Newcastle Falcons
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.8Total
Maitland Mustangs86
Newcastle Falcons81.8
1X2
Maitland Mustangs
Newcastle Falcons
Recent form · 10 last
Maitland Mustangs
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Newcastle Falcons
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maitland Mustangs
2–4
Newcastle Falcons
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points167.8Maitland Mustangs 86 · Newcastle Falcons 81.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Newcastle Falcons: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Maitland Mustangs | Newcastle Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 90.6 / 80.2 | 82.8 / 82 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 95 / 82 | 85.2 / 74.6 |
| Est. result | 86 | 82 |
Est. total167.8
Line O/U165
Diff.2.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland Mustangs 2–0–4 Newcastle Falcons
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia NBL1 East | Newcastle Falcons | 81-73 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 12/07/25 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 95-116 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 03/05/25 Australia NBL1 East | Newcastle Falcons | 84-61 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 13/07/24 Australia NBL1 East | Newcastle Falcons | 64-85 | Maitland Mustangs |
| 06/04/24 Australia NBL1 East | Maitland Mustangs | 109-72 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 15/07/23 Australia NBL1 East | Newcastle Falcons | 76-68 | Maitland Mustangs |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1697 | 1456 | 0 |
| 2 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1751 | 1526 | 0 |
| 3 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1580 | 1440 | 0 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1599 | 1468 | 0 |
| 5 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 6 | Maitland Mustangs | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1590 | 1447 | 0 |
| 7 | Canberra Gunners | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1592 | 1529 | 0 |
| 8 | Newcastle Falcons | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1466 | 1526 | 0 |
| 9 | Central Coast Crusaders | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1618 | 1665 | 0 |
| 10 | Sydney Comets | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1474 | 1504 | 0 |
| 11 | Inner West Bulls | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1515 | 1634 | 0 |
| 12 | Hills Hornets | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1485 | 1575 | 0 |
| 13 | Bankstown Bruins | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1581 | 1663 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1574 | 1687 | 0 |
| 15 | Penrith Panthers | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1325 | 1557 | 0 |
| 16 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 19 | 2 | 17 | 1543 | 1883 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maitland Mustangs | Newcastle Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Crusaders | 107-87 W | 82-81 W |
| Penrith Panthers | 95-81 W | 84-70 W |
| Inner West Bulls | 91-72 W | 92-79 W |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 85-61 W | 92-71 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Maitland Mustangs (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maitland Mustangs
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
110-88 | W |
| 04/07 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
72-82 | L |
| 27/06 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
107-87 | W |
| 20/06 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
95-81 | W |
| 14/06 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
91-72 | W |
| 13/06 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
85-67 | W |
| 30/05 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
86-99 | L |
| 24/05 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
85-61 | W |
| 23/05 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
102-84 | W |
| 16/05 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
73-81 | L |
Newcastle Falcons
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
76-72 | W |
| 11/07 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
82-81 | W |
| 04/07 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
92-79 | W |
| 28/06 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
84-70 | W |
| 27/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
92-71 | W |
| 20/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
93-92 | W |
| 14/06 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
104-89 | W |
| 13/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
78-85 | L |
| 30/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
58-87 | L |
| 23/05 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
69-94 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maitland Mustangs vs Newcastle Falcons?
Our model gives 62% to Maitland Mustangs.
How many points are expected in Maitland Mustangs vs Newcastle Falcons?
The model estimates 167.8 total points (Maitland Mustangs 86 · Newcastle Falcons 81.8).