Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 17/07, 12:00
Prediction: Sutherland Sharks vs Penrith Panthers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.5Total
Sutherland Sharks91.9
Penrith Panthers78.6
1X2
Sutherland Sharks
Penrith Panthers
Recent form · 10 last
Sutherland Sharks
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Penrith Panthers
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutherland Sharks
5–1
Penrith Panthers
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points170.5Sutherland Sharks 91.9 · Penrith Panthers 78.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutherland Sharks (rating 1609 vs 1420).
- Sutherland Sharks is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Sutherland Sharks: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sutherland Sharks | Penrith Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.6 / 78 | 80.2 / 89.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91.4 / 76 | 81.4 / 87 |
| Est. result | 92 | 79 |
Est. total170.5
Line O/U168
Diff.2.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutherland Sharks 5–0–1 Penrith Panthers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Australia NBL1 East | Penrith Panthers | 80-102 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 29/03/25 Australia NBL1 East | Sutherland Sharks | 81-78 | Penrith Panthers |
| 06/04/24 Australia NBL1 East | Sutherland Sharks | 87-73 | Penrith Panthers |
| 27/05/23 Australia NBL1 East | Sutherland Sharks | 92-79 | Penrith Panthers |
| 24/04/21 Australia Waratah League | Penrith Panthers | 93-82 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 01/06/19 Australia Waratah League | Penrith Panthers | 80-95 | Sutherland Sharks |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1697 | 1456 | 0 |
| 2 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1751 | 1526 | 0 |
| 3 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1580 | 1440 | 0 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1599 | 1468 | 0 |
| 5 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 6 | Maitland Mustangs | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1590 | 1447 | 0 |
| 7 | Canberra Gunners | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1592 | 1529 | 0 |
| 8 | Newcastle Falcons | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1466 | 1526 | 0 |
| 9 | Central Coast Crusaders | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1618 | 1665 | 0 |
| 10 | Sydney Comets | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1474 | 1504 | 0 |
| 11 | Inner West Bulls | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1515 | 1634 | 0 |
| 12 | Hills Hornets | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1485 | 1575 | 0 |
| 13 | Bankstown Bruins | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1581 | 1663 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1574 | 1687 | 0 |
| 15 | Penrith Panthers | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1325 | 1557 | 0 |
| 16 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 19 | 2 | 17 | 1543 | 1883 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutherland Sharks | Penrith Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Hills Hornets | 80-73 W | 75-72 W |
| BA Coe | 115-88 W | 72-91 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sutherland Sharks (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutherland Sharks
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
92-88 | W |
| 05/07 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
97-69 | W |
| 04/07 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
88-63 | W |
| 27/06 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
100-87 | W |
| 21/06 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
80-73 | W |
| 20/06 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
115-88 | W |
| 14/06 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
78-75 | W |
| 13/06 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
87-95 | L |
| 31/05 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
102-80 | W |
| 30/05 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
87-62 | W |
Penrith Panthers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
75-72 | W |
| 05/07 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
98-91 | W |
| 04/07 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
93-104 | L |
| 28/06 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
70-84 | L |
| 21/06 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
71-84 | L |
| 20/06 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
81-95 | L |
| 13/06 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
79-85 | L |
| 31/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
80-102 | L |
| 24/05 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
83-89 | L |
| 17/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
72-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutherland Sharks vs Penrith Panthers?
Our model gives 83% to Sutherland Sharks.
How many points are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs Penrith Panthers?
The model estimates 170.5 total points (Sutherland Sharks 91.9 · Penrith Panthers 78.6).