Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 12/07, 07:00
Prediction: Newcastle Falcons vs Hornsby Spiders
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.7Total
Newcastle Falcons88.3
Hornsby Spiders81.4
1X2
Newcastle Falcons
Hornsby Spiders
Recent form · 10 last
Newcastle Falcons
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Hornsby Spiders
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newcastle Falcons
4–1
Hornsby Spiders
(5 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points169.7Newcastle Falcons 88.3 · Hornsby Spiders 81.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newcastle Falcons (rating 1554 vs 1504).
- Newcastle Falcons is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Newcastle Falcons: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Newcastle Falcons | Hornsby Spiders | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.3 / 82.1 | 86.1 / 86.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.6 / 78.6 | 88 / 90 |
| Est. result | 88 | 81 |
Est. total169.7
Line O/U165.5
Diff.4.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Falcons 4–0–1 Hornsby Spiders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Australia NBL1 East | Hornsby Spiders | 89-104 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 17/05/25 Australia NBL1 East | Hornsby Spiders | 80-77 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 06/07/24 Australia NBL1 East | Hornsby Spiders | 97-104 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 20/04/24 Australia NBL1 East | Newcastle Falcons | 81-61 | Hornsby Spiders |
| 17/06/23 Australia NBL1 East | Newcastle Falcons | 62-45 | Hornsby Spiders |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1583 | 1384 | 0 |
| 2 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1663 | 1434 | 0 |
| 3 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1580 | 1440 | 0 |
| 4 | BA Coe | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1669 | 1499 | 0 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1507 | 1380 | 0 |
| 6 | Maitland Mustangs | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1480 | 1359 | 0 |
| 7 | Canberra Gunners | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1500 | 1451 | 0 |
| 8 | Central Coast Crusaders | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1537 | 1583 | 0 |
| 9 | Sydney Comets | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1386 | 1394 | 0 |
| 10 | Inner West Bulls | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1443 | 1520 | 0 |
| 11 | Bankstown Bruins | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1512 | 1586 | 0 |
| 12 | Newcastle Falcons | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1308 | 1373 | 0 |
| 13 | Hills Hornets | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1408 | 1506 | 0 |
| 14 | Hornsby Spiders | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1502 | 1611 | 0 |
| 15 | Penrith Panthers | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1325 | 1557 | 0 |
| 16 | Albury Wodonga Bandits | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1465 | 1791 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newcastle Falcons | Hornsby Spiders |
|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Crusaders | 82-81 W | 99-89 W |
| Inner West Bulls | 92-79 W | 84-91 L |
| Albury Wodonga Bandits | 93-92 W | 97-79 W |
| BA Coe | 58-87 L | 60-70 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hornsby Spiders (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newcastle Falcons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
82-81 | W |
| 04/07 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
92-79 | W |
| 28/06 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
84-70 | W |
| 27/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
92-71 | W |
| 20/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
93-92 | W |
| 14/06 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
104-89 | W |
| 13/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
78-85 | L |
| 30/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
58-87 | L |
| 23/05 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
69-94 | L |
| 16/05 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
81-73 | W |
Hornsby Spiders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
89-94 | L |
| 04/07 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
99-89 | W |
| 27/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
97-79 | W |
| 20/06 | Hills Hornets Australia NBL1 East |
66-84 | L |
| 14/06 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
89-104 | L |
| 13/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
95-87 | W |
| 31/05 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
109-108 | W |
| 24/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
60-70 | L |
| 23/05 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
73-63 | W |
| 16/05 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
84-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newcastle Falcons vs Hornsby Spiders?
Our model gives 69% to Newcastle Falcons.
How many points are expected in Newcastle Falcons vs Hornsby Spiders?
The model estimates 169.7 total points (Newcastle Falcons 88.3 · Hornsby Spiders 81.4).