Glossary · Favourite in trouble

Favourite in trouble

A favourite is in trouble when the team or player the market had as a clear winner is trailing on the scoreboard, or level when it should be ahead. It is one of the two scenarios the live radar flags, because it captures the gap between the expected script and what is actually happening on the pitch.

Example

A home side priced at 1.40 (implying 71%) trailing 0-1 at half-time is a favourite in trouble: the radar flags it and estimates its comeback probability.

See also
Comeback probabilityGoals that aren't comingOdds and implied probability

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