Tennis · M25 Montreal · 13/11, 16:00
Prediction: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Nicolas Arseneault
Team pages: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen · Nicolas Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Nicolas Arseneault
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolas Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 1539 · Nicolas Arseneault 1556
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.1 | 10.6-7.5 |
| Aces | 11 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 31.3% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Nikola Slavic M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/11 | Tiago Silva M25 Montreal |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/11 | Mikael Arseneault M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Tiago Pires M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Andy Tchinda Kepche M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Slavic M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Falun |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Lewie Lane M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Erik Gahnstrom M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Nicolas Arseneault
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/11 | Niels Visker M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 22/10 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/10 | Ethan Muza M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 14/10 | Duje Markovina M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Jack Anthrop M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Nicolas Arseneault?
Our model gives 60% to Nicolas Arseneault.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.