Tennis · M25 Montreal · 13/11, 17:30
Prediction: Theodore Dean vs Mikael Arseneault
Team pages: Theodore Dean · Mikael Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Theodore Dean
Mikael Arseneault
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Theodore Dean
5-5 (W-L)
Mikael Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theodore Dean 1562 · Mikael Arseneault 1544
| Theodore Dean | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Theodore Dean | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.5 | 12-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 68% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theodore Dean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Louis Wessels M25 Montreal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/11 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Montreal |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/11 | Eric David Verdes M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Romain Gales M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Xavier Massotte M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Adriano Dzhenev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mikael Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Thomas Gerbaud M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 11/11 | Volodymyr Gurenko M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Nikola Slavic M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Eliot Nobel M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Matt Kuhar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | William Jansen M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theodore Dean vs Mikael Arseneault?
Our model gives 57% to Mikael Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.