Tennis · M25 Montreal · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Vladislav Melnic vs Nicolas Arseneault
Team pages: Vladislav Melnic · Nicolas Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Vladislav Melnic
Nicolas Arseneault
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vladislav Melnic
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolas Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vladislav Melnic 1488 · Nicolas Arseneault 1536
| Vladislav Melnic | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Arseneault (rating 1488 vs 1536).
Statistics
| Vladislav Melnic | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.8 | 10.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vladislav Melnic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Antoine Genereux M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Dylan Leeman M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Ivan Dorokhov M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Kacper Knitter M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Luca Stefan Prunescu Nita M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Matias Ponce De Leon M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Denis Klok M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Niels Visker M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 22/10 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/10 | Ethan Muza M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 14/10 | Duje Markovina M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Jack Anthrop M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vladislav Melnic vs Nicolas Arseneault?
Our model gives 73% to Nicolas Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.