Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 14/11, 00:00
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
8-2 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Kozlov
2–0
Michael Zheng
(2 last)
- 02 Jul2-1 17-12W
- 24 Sept2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1595 · Michael Zheng 1476
| Stefan Kozlov | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Kozlov (rating 1595 vs 1476).
- Stefan Kozlov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 2–0 Michael Zheng (2).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9 | 10.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 2 – 0 Michael Zheng (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 2–0 Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/24 Challenger Bloomfield Hills | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/09/23 Challenger Charleston | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Braden Shick Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 07/11 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 06/11 | Braden Shick Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Andres Martin Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Michael Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Ozan Baris Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Giles Hussey Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Yibing Wu ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 51% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.