Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 12/11, 17:00

Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Team pages: Marcos Giron · Abedallah Shelbayh

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Marcos Giron Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLWLLW
Abedallah Shelbayh 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1467 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1498
Marcos GironAbedallah Shelbayh
Our model46%54%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Marcos GironAbedallah Shelbayh
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.71.2-1.1
Games (G-P)12.9-14.610.9-11.2
Aces5.24.7
Double faults2.72
1st serve %69.5%66.3%
Break %42.7%30.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marcos Giron

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
07/11 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/11 Justin Boulais
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
2-1 19-13 W
03/11 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/10 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Basel · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
20/10 Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Brussels · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
08/10 Sebastian Baez
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
28/09 Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
02/09 Ignacio Buse
US Open · Hard
2-3 20-27 L
24/08 Dhakshineswar Suresh
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Abedallah Shelbayh

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Harry Wendelken
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/11 Michael Antonius
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
27/10 Jeffrey John Wolf
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
12/10 Andrea Guerrieri
Challenger Olbia · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/10 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Villena · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
08/10 Damir Dzumhur
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
07/10 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
04/10 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
03/10 Mitchell Krueger
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/10 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Abedallah Shelbayh?

Our model gives 58% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.